On statistical bias in active learning: How and when to fix it

S Farquhar, Y Gal, T Rainforth - arXiv preprint arXiv:2101.11665, 2021 - arxiv.org
Active learning is a powerful tool when labelling data is expensive, but it introduces a bias
because the training data no longer follows the population distribution. We formalize this …

Target-aware Bayesian inference via generalized thermodynamic integration

F Llorente, L Martino, D Delgado - Computational Statistics, 2023 - Springer
In Bayesian inference, we are usually interested in the numerical approximation of integrals
that are posterior expectations or marginal likelihoods (aka, Bayesian evidence). In this …

Understanding and mitigating difficulties in posterior predictive evaluation

A Agrawal, J Domke - arXiv preprint arXiv:2405.19747, 2024 - arxiv.org
Predictive posterior densities (PPDs) are of interest in approximate Bayesian inference.
Typically, these are estimated by simple Monte Carlo (MC) averages using samples from the …

Daisee: Adaptive importance sampling by balancing exploration and exploitation

X Lu, T Rainforth, YW Teh - Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
We study adaptive importance sampling (AIS) as an online learning problem and argue for
the importance of the trade‐off between exploration and exploitation in this adaptation …

Expectation programming: Adapting probabilistic programming systems to estimate expectations efficiently

T Reichelt, A Goliński, L Ong… - Uncertainty in Artificial …, 2022 - proceedings.mlr.press
We show that the standard computational pipeline of probabilistic programming systems
(PPSs) can be inefficient for estimating expectations and introduce the concept of …

Targeted active learning for bayesian decision-making

L Filstroff, I Sundin, P Mikkola, A Tiulpin… - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2021 - arxiv.org
Active learning is usually applied to acquire labels of informative data points in supervised
learning, to maximize accuracy in a sample-efficient way. However, maximizing the accuracy …

Loss-calibrated expectation propagation for approximate Bayesian decision-making

MJ Morais, JW Pillow - arXiv preprint arXiv:2201.03128, 2022 - arxiv.org
Approximate Bayesian inference methods provide a powerful suite of tools for finding
approximations to intractable posterior distributions. However, machine learning …

Approximate Bayesian methods for optimal neural coding and decision-making

MJ Morais - 2021 - search.proquest.com
One fundamental goal of theoretical neuroscience is to understand the normative principles
governing the functional organization of neural circuits, and, in turn, to what extent they can …

[PDF][PDF] From Approximations to Decisions

J Sakaya - 2021 - helda.helsinki.fi
Bayesian models capture the intrinsic variability of a data-generating process as a posterior
distribution over the parameters of the model for the process. Decisions that are optimal for a …