Model averaging and its use in economics

MFJ Steel - Journal of Economic Literature, 2020 - aeaweb.org
The method of model averaging has become an important tool to deal with model
uncertainty, for example in situations where a large amount of different theories exist, as are …

Weighted‐average least squares (WALS): a survey

JR Magnus, G De Luca - Journal of Economic Surveys, 2016 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract Model averaging has become a popular method of estimation, following increasing
evidence that model selection and estimation should be treated as one joint procedure …

Penalized time-varying model averaging

Y Sun, Y Hong, S Wang, X Zhang - Journal of Econometrics, 2023 - Elsevier
This paper proposes a new penalized time-varying model averaging method to determine
optimal time-varying combination weights for candidate models, which avoids over-fitting …

A model-averaging method for high-dimensional regression with missing responses at random

J Xie, X Yan, N Tang - Statistica Sinica, 2021 - JSTOR
This study considers the ultrahigh-dimensional prediction problem in the presence of
responses missing at random. A two-step model-averaging procedure is proposed to …

Toward optimal model averaging in regression models with time series errors

TCF Cheng, CK Ing, SH Yu - Journal of Econometrics, 2015 - Elsevier
Consider a regression model with infinitely many parameters and time series errors. We are
interested in choosing weights for averaging across generalized least squares (GLS) …

A new study on asymptotic optimality of least squares model averaging

X Zhang - Econometric Theory, 2021 - cambridge.org
In this article, we present a comprehensive study of asymptotic optimality of least squares
model averaging methods. The concept of asymptotic optimality is that in a large-sample …

Optimal model averaging of mixed-data kernel-weighted spline regressions

JS Racine, Q Li, D Yu, L Zheng - Journal of Business & Economic …, 2023 - Taylor & Francis
Abstract Model averaging has a rich history dating from its use for combining forecasts from
time-series models (Bates and Granger) and presents a compelling alternative to model …

Model averaging estimation for conditional volatility models with an application to stock market volatility forecast

Q Liu, Q Yao, G Zhao - Journal of Forecasting, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
This paper is concerned with model averaging estimation for conditional volatility models.
Given a set of candidate models with different functional forms, we propose a model …

Optimal model averaging of varying coefficient models

C Li, Q Li, JS Racine, D Zhang - Statistica Sinica, 2018 - JSTOR
We consider the problem of model averaging over a set of semiparametric varying
coefficient models where the varying coefficients can be functions of continuous and …

Model averaging for nonlinear regression models

Y Feng, Q Liu, Q Yao, G Zhao - Journal of Business & Economic …, 2022 - Taylor & Francis
This article considers the problem of model averaging for regression models that can be
nonlinear in their parameters and variables. We consider a nonlinear model averaging …