Local projection inference is simpler and more robust than you think

JL Montiel Olea, M Plagborg‐Møller - Econometrica, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Applied macroeconomists often compute confidence intervals for impulse responses using
local projections, that is, direct linear regressions of future outcomes on current covariates …

Structural vector autoregressions: Theory of identification and algorithms for inference

JF Rubio-Ramirez, DF Waggoner… - The Review of Economic …, 2010 - academic.oup.com
Structural vector autoregressions (SVARs) are widely used for policy analysis and to provide
stylized facts for dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models; yet no workable …

Vector autoregressive models

H Lütkepohl - Handbook of research methods and applications in …, 2013 - elgaronline.com
Multivariate simultaneous equations models were used extensively for macroeconometric
analysis when Sims (1980) advocated vector autoregressive (VAR) models as alternatives …

Economic growth and energy consumption causal nexus viewed through a bootstrap rolling window

M Balcilar, ZA Ozdemir, Y Arslanturk - Energy Economics, 2010 - Elsevier
One puzzling results in the literature on energy consumption-economic growth causality is
the variability of results particularly across sample periods, sample sizes, and model …

[图书][B] Resampling methods for dependent data

SN Lahiri - 2013 - books.google.com
This is a book on bootstrap and related resampling methods for temporal and spatial data
exhibiting various forms of dependence. Like the resam pling methods for independent data …

Bootstrapping autoregressions with conditional heteroskedasticity of unknown form

S Gonçalves, L Kilian - Journal of econometrics, 2004 - Elsevier
Conditional heteroskedasticity is an important feature of many macroeconomic and financial
time series. Standard residual-based bootstrap procedures for dynamic regression models …

Do oil price increases cause higher food prices?

C Baumeister, L Kilian - Economic Policy, 2014 - academic.oup.com
US retail food price increases in recent years may seem large in nominal terms, but after
adjusting for inflation have been quite modest even after the change in US biofuel policies in …

The export-output growth nexus in Japan: a bootstrap rolling window approach

M Balcilar, ZA Ozdemir - Empirical Economics, 2013 - Springer
The purpose of this article is to examine the export–output nexus in Japan by taking into
account the time variation in the causal link with bootstrap Granger non-causality test and …

Monte Carlo tests with nuisance parameters: A general approach to finite-sample inference and nonstandard asymptotics

JM Dufour - Journal of econometrics, 2006 - Elsevier
The technique of Monte Carlo (MC) tests [Dwass (1957, Annals of Mathematical Statistics
28, 181–187); Barnard (1963, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B 25, 294)] …

The purchasing power parity persistence paradigm

CJ Murray, DH Papell - Journal of International Economics, 2002 - Elsevier
Rogoff (Journal of Economic Literature 1996; 34: 647–668) describes the 'remarkable
consensus' of 3–5 year half-lives of purchasing power parity deviations among studies using …