One money, many markets

G Corsetti, JB Duarte, S Mann - Journal of the European …, 2022 - academic.oup.com
We study heterogeneity in the transmission of monetary shocks across euro-area (EA)
countries using a dynamic factor model and high-frequency identification. Deploying a novel …

Mark my words: the transmission of central bank communication to the general public via the print media

T Munday, J Brookes - 2021 - papers.ssrn.com
We ask how central banks can change their communication in order to receive greater
newspaper coverage. We write down a model of news production and consumption in which …

A shot in the arm: The effect of COVID‐19 vaccine news on financial and commodity markets

O Kucher, A Kurov, MH Wolfe - Financial Review, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
We analyze the impact of COVID‐19 vaccine announcements by leading vaccine
companies on the financial and commodity markets from January to December 2020. We …

[HTML][HTML] Spillover effects of sovereign debt-based quantitative easing in the euro area

M Gnewuch - European Economic Review, 2022 - Elsevier
This paper proposes an identification strategy for news about sovereign debt-based asset
purchases. It measures sovereign yield changes that are unrelated to movements in risk-free …

Estimating nominal interest rate expectations: Overnight indexed swaps and the term structure

SP Lloyd - Journal of Banking & Finance, 2020 - Elsevier
No-arbitrage dynamic term structure models (DTSMs) have regularly been used to estimate
interest rate expectations and term premia, but are beset by empirical challenges. I propose …

Dangerous liaisons? Debt supply and convenience yield spillovers in the euro area

C Arcidiacono, M Bellon, M Gnewuch - 2024 - papers.ssrn.com
Many advanced economies sell sovereign bonds at a yield below the risk-free rate plus a
default risk premium, benefiting from strong demand for safe assets. The literature shows …

The efficiency of the Estr overnight index swap market

M Realdon - Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions …, 2024 - Elsevier
This paper studies the profitability of market-neutral delta-hedged strategies trading the
mispricing of Euro Short Term Rate Overnight Index Swaps (Estr OIS) signalled by standard …

Empirical DSGE model evaluation with interest rate expectations measures and preferences over safe assets

G De Walque, T Lejeune, A Rannenberg - 2023 - econstor.eu
We estimate a DSGE model with Preferences Over Safe Assets (POSA) on Euro Area
macroeconomic data and interest rate expectations measures. The model with POSA has …

The Swaps Strike Back: Evaluating Expectations of One-Year Inflation

AM Diercks, C Campbell, SA Sharpe, D Soques - 2023 - papers.ssrn.com
This study examines the forecasting performance of inflation swaps and survey-based
expectations for one-year inflation. Conducting this exercise helps determine if one set of …

The economic impact of yield curve compression: Evidence from euro area forward guidance and unconventional monetary policy

R Goodhead - European Economic Review, 2024 - Elsevier
Unconventional monetary policies have now been part of the toolkit of developed economy
central banks for well over a decade. The question of how their effects have changed over …