Near-term ecological forecasting for climate change action

M Dietze, EP White, A Abeyta, C Boettiger… - Nature Climate …, 2024 - nature.com
A substantial increase in predictive capacity is needed to anticipate and mitigate the
widespread change in ecosystems and their services in the face of climate and biodiversity …

[HTML][HTML] Process-based forecasts of lake water temperature and dissolved oxygen outperform null models, with variability over time and depth

WM Woelmer, RQ Thomas, F Olsson, BG Steele… - Ecological …, 2024 - Elsevier
Near-term iterative ecological forecasting has great potential for providing new insights into
our ability to predict multiple ecological variables. However, true, out-of-sample probabilistic …

A multi‐model ensemble of baseline and process‐based models improves the predictive skill of near‐term lake forecasts

F Olsson, TN Moore, CC Carey… - Water Resources …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
Water temperature forecasting in lakes and reservoirs is a valuable tool to manage crucial
freshwater resources in a changing and more variable climate, but previous efforts have yet …

Data assimilation experiments inform monitoring needs for near‐term ecological forecasts in a eutrophic reservoir

HL Wander, RQ Thomas, TN Moore, ME Lofton… - …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
Ecosystems around the globe are experiencing changes in both the magnitude and
fluctuations of environmental conditions due to land use and climate change. In response …

Does polymixis complicate prediction of high‐frequency dissolved oxygen in lakes and reservoirs?

CJ Robbins, JM Sadler, D Trolle… - Limnology and …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
As lake and reservoir ecosystems transition across major environmental regimes (eg, mixing
regime) resulting from anthropogenic change, setting predictive expectations is imperative …

A framework for developing a real-time lake phytoplankton forecasting system to support water quality management in the face of global change

CC Carey, RSD Calder, RJ Figueiredo, RB Gramacy… - Ambio, 2024 - Springer
Phytoplankton blooms create harmful toxins, scums, and taste and odor compounds and
thus pose a major risk to drinking water safety. Climate and land use change are increasing …

FaaSr: cross-platform function-as-a-service serverless scientific workflows in R

S Park, RQ Thomas, CC Carey… - 2024 IEEE 20th …, 2024 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Modern Function-as-a-Service (FaaS) cloud platforms offer great potential for supporting
event-driven scientific workflows. Nonetheless, there remain barriers to adoption by the …

Synthesizing data products, mathematical models, and observational measurements for lake temperature forecasting

MF Holthuijzen, RB Gramacy, CC Carey… - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2024 - arxiv.org
We present a novel forecasting framework for lake water temperature profiles, crucial for
managing lake ecosystems and drinking water resources. The General Lake Model (GLM), a …

Translational Edge and Cloud Computing to Advance Lake Water Quality Forecasting

RJ Figueiredo, CC Carey… - Computing in Science & …, 2024 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
In this article, we report on our experiences with interdisciplinary projects at the intersection
of freshwater ecology, data science, and computer science. The translational research …

Applications of Neural Network Models for Conservation Decision-Making and Ecological Forecasting

MF Lapeyrolerie - 2024 - search.proquest.com
Improving the ability to manage and forecast ecological processes would enhance
conservation practices and further our understanding of the natural world. Ecology is …