Initialized Earth System prediction from subseasonal to decadal timescales

GA Meehl, JH Richter, H Teng, A Capotondi… - Nature Reviews Earth & …, 2021 - nature.com
Abstract Initialized Earth System predictions are made by starting a numerical prediction
model in a state as consistent as possible to observations and running it forward in time for …

The state and fate of lake ice thickness in the Northern Hemisphere

X Li, D Long, Q Huang, F Zhao - Science Bulletin, 2022 - Elsevier
Lake ice thickness (LIT) is important for regional hydroclimate systems, lake ecosystems,
and human activities on the ice, and is thought to be highly susceptible to global warming …

Sea-ice information and forecast needs for industry maritime stakeholders

PM Wagner, N Hughes, P Bourbonnais… - Polar …, 2020 - Taylor & Francis
Profound changes in Arctic sea-ice, a growing desire to utilize the Arctic's abundant natural
resources, and the potential competitiveness of Arctic shipping routes, all provide for …

Subseasonal-to-seasonal Arctic sea ice forecast skill improvement from sea ice concentration assimilation

YF Zhang, M Bushuk, M Winton, B Hurlin… - Journal of …, 2022 - journals.ametsoc.org
The current GFDL seasonal prediction system, the Seamless System for Prediction and
Earth System Research (SPEAR), has shown skillful prediction of Arctic sea ice extent with …

Sea‐Ice Forecasts With an Upgraded AWI Coupled Prediction System

L Mu, L Nerger, J Streffing, Q Tang… - Journal of Advances …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
A new version of the AWI Coupled Prediction System is developed based on the Alfred
Wegener Institute Climate Model v3. 0. Both the ocean and the atmosphere models are …

Variability of Antarctic sea ice extent over the past 200 years

J Yang, C Xiao, J Liu, S Li, D Qin - Science Bulletin, 2021 - Elsevier
While Arctic sea ice has been decreasing in recent decades that is largely due to
anthropogenic forcing, the extent of Antarctic sea ice showed a positive trend during 1979 …

Seasonal Arctic sea ice prediction using a newly developed fully coupled regional model with the assimilation of satellite sea ice observations

CY Yang, J Liu, S Xu - Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
To increase our capability to predict Arctic sea ice and climate, we have developed a
coupled atmosphere‐sea ice‐ocean model configured for the pan‐Arctic with sufficient …

Impact of ocean and sea ice initialisation on seasonal prediction skill in the Arctic

M Kimmritz, F Counillon, LH Smedsrud… - Journal of Advances …, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
There is a growing demand for skillful prediction systems in the Arctic. Using the Norwegian
Climate Prediction Model that combines the fully coupled Norwegian Earth System Model …

A review on Antarctic sea ice change and its climate effects

W Jinfei, Y Qinghua, Y Lejiang, S Mirong, L Hao… - 海洋学报, 2021 - hyxbocean.cn
Antarctic sea ice plays an important role in the global climate system. In contrast to the rapid
decrease in Arctic sea ice extent, Antarctic sea ice extent exhibits a gradually increasing …

Assimilation of satellite-retrieved sea ice concentration and prospects for September predictions of Arctic sea ice

YF Zhang, M Bushuk, M Winton, B Hurlin… - Journal of …, 2021 - journals.ametsoc.org
The current GFDL seasonal prediction system achieved retrospective sea ice extent (SIE)
skill without direct sea ice data assimilation. Here we develop sea ice data assimilation …