Why you should never use the Hodrick-Prescott filter

JD Hamilton - Review of Economics and Statistics, 2018 - direct.mit.edu
Abstract Here's why.(a) The Hodrick-Prescott (HP) filter introduces spurious dynamic
relations that have no basis in the underlying data-generating process.(b) Filtered values at …

Business cycles, trend elimination, and the HP filter

PCB Phillips, S Jin - International Economic Review, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Trend elimination and business cycle estimation are analyzed by finite sample and
asymptotic methods. An overview history is provided, operator theory is developed, limit …

The econometrics of the Hodrick-Prescott filter

RM De Jong, N Sakarya - Review of Economics and Statistics, 2016 - direct.mit.edu
Abstract The Hodrick-Prescott (HP) filter is a commonly used tool in macroeconomics used
to extract a trend component from a time series. In this paper, we derive a new …

International portfolios, capital accumulation and foreign assets dynamics

N Coeurdacier, R Kollmann, P Martin - Journal of International Economics, 2010 - Elsevier
Despite the liberalization of capital flows among OECD countries, equity home bias remains
sizable. We depart from the two familiar explanations of equity home bias: transaction costs …

A neural network enhanced hidden Markov model for tourism demand forecasting

Y Yao, Y Cao - Applied Soft Computing, 2020 - Elsevier
In recent years, tourism demand forecasting has attracted more interests not only in tourism
area but in data science field. In this study, we follow the previous relevant data science …

Linkages between energy delivery and economic growth from the point of view of sustainable development and seaports

E Szaruga, Z Kłos-Adamkiewicz, A Gozdek, E Załoga - Energies, 2021 - mdpi.com
This paper presents the synchronisation of economic cycles of GDP and crude oil and oil
products cargo volumes in major Polish seaports. On the one hand, this issue fits into the …

A paired neural network model for tourist arrival forecasting

Y Yao, Y Cao, X Ding, J Zhai, J Liu, Y Luo, S Ma… - Expert Systems with …, 2018 - Elsevier
Tourist arrival and tourist demand forecasting are a crucial issue in tourism economy and the
community economic development as well. Tourist demand forecasting has attracted much …

Does Hamilton's OLS regression provide a “better alternative” to the Hodrick-Prescott filter? A New Zealand Business Cycle Perspective

VB Hall, P Thomson - Journal of Business Cycle Research, 2021 - Springer
Abstract Within a New Zealand business cycle context, we assess whether Hamilton's (H84)
OLS regression methodology produces stylised business cycle facts which are materially …

The explicit formula for the Hodrick-Prescott filter in a finite sample

A Cornea-Madeira - Review of economics and statistics, 2017 - direct.mit.edu
We derive the exact expression for the weights of the Hodrick-Prescott (HP) filter in a finite
sample without making any assumptions about the statistical properties of the time series …

[图书][B] 151 Trading Strategies

Z Kakushadze, JA Serur - 2018 - Springer
Features trading strategies for a variety of asset classes and trading styles including stocks,
options, fixed income, futures, ETFs, indexes, commodities, foreign exchange, convertibles …