[HTML][HTML] Forecasting: theory and practice
Forecasting has always been at the forefront of decision making and planning. The
uncertainty that surrounds the future is both exciting and challenging, with individuals and …
uncertainty that surrounds the future is both exciting and challenging, with individuals and …
Forecasting city arrivals with Google Analytics
Abstract The ability of 10 Google Analytics website traffic indicators from the Viennese DMO
website to predict actual tourist arrivals to Vienna is investigated within the VAR model class …
website to predict actual tourist arrivals to Vienna is investigated within the VAR model class …
Financial frictions in the Euro Area and the United States: a Bayesian assessment
S Villa - Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2016 - cambridge.org
This paper assesses the empirical relevance of financial frictions in the Euro Area (EA) and
the United States (US). It provides a comprehensive set of comparisons between two …
the United States (US). It provides a comprehensive set of comparisons between two …
Forecasting US GNP growth: The role of uncertainty
A large number of models have been developed in the literature to analyze and forecast
changes in output dynamics. The objective of this paper was to compare the predictive …
changes in output dynamics. The objective of this paper was to compare the predictive …
Application of the Bayesian New Keynesian DSGE Model to Polish Macroeconomic Data
J Sobieraj, D Metelski - Engineering Economics, 2021 - inzeko.ktu.lt
In the paper we estimate a simple New Keynesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium
NK DSGE model on the basis of Polish macro data from the period 2000-2019. The model is …
NK DSGE model on the basis of Polish macro data from the period 2000-2019. The model is …
Forecast heuristics, consumer expectations, and New-Keynesian macroeconomics: A Horse race
TS Jang, S Sacht - Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 2021 - Elsevier
This study extends the hybrid version of the baseline New-Keynesian model with
heterogeneous agents who may adopt various forecast heuristics. With a focus on consumer …
heterogeneous agents who may adopt various forecast heuristics. With a focus on consumer …
Disentangling civilian and military spending shocks: A Bayesian DSGE approach for the US economy
M Lorusso, L Pieroni - Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 2019 - mdpi.com
In this paper, we disentangle public spending components in order analyse their effects on
the US economy. Our Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model (DSGE) model …
the US economy. Our Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model (DSGE) model …
Fiscal policy within the DSGE-VAR framework
J Babecký, M Franta, J Ryšánek - Economic Modelling, 2018 - Elsevier
In this paper we explore the potential of the DSGE-VAR modelling approach for examining
the effects of fiscal policy. The combination of the VAR and DSGE frameworks leads …
the effects of fiscal policy. The combination of the VAR and DSGE frameworks leads …
Limited asset market participation and the Euro area crisis: An empirical DSGE model
We estimate a medium‐scale dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model for the Euro
area with limited asset market participation (LAMP). Our results suggest that in the recent …
area with limited asset market participation (LAMP). Our results suggest that in the recent …
Bayesian forecast combination in VAR-DSGE models
KH Chin, X Li - Journal of Macroeconomics, 2019 - Elsevier
We evaluate the performance of individual and combination forecasts produced by Bayesian
vector autoregressions (Bayesian VARs) with economic and/or non-economic information. In …
vector autoregressions (Bayesian VARs) with economic and/or non-economic information. In …