Microeconometrics with partial identification

F Molinari - Handbook of econometrics, 2020 - Elsevier
This chapter reviews the microeconometrics literature on partial identification, focusing on
the developments of the last thirty years. The topics presented illustrate that the available …

Uncertainty and business cycles: exogenous impulse or endogenous response?

SC Ludvigson, S Ma, S Ng - American Economic Journal …, 2021 - aeaweb.org
Uncertainty about the future rises in recessions. But is uncertainty a source of business
cycles or an endogenous response to them, and does the type of uncertainty matter? We …

Dynamic factor models, factor-augmented vector autoregressions, and structural vector autoregressions in macroeconomics

JH Stock, MW Watson - Handbook of macroeconomics, 2016 - Elsevier
This chapter provides an overview of and user's guide to dynamic factor models (DFMs),
their estimation, and their uses in empirical macroeconomics. It also surveys recent …

Inference based on structural vector autoregressions identified with sign and zero restrictions: Theory and applications

JE Arias, JF Rubio‐Ramírez, DF Waggoner - Econometrica, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
In this paper, we develop algorithms to independently draw from a family of conjugate
posterior distributions over the structural parameterization when sign and zero restrictions …

Sign restrictions, structural vector autoregressions, and useful prior information

C Baumeister, JD Hamilton - Econometrica, 2015 - Wiley Online Library
This paper makes the following original contributions to the literature.(i) We develop a
simpler analytical characterization and numerical algorithm for Bayesian inference in …

Why agnostic sign restrictions are not enough: understanding the dynamics of oil market VAR models

L Kilian, DP Murphy - Journal of the European Economic …, 2012 - academic.oup.com
Sign restrictions on the responses generated by structural vector autoregressive models
have been proposed as an alternative approach to the use of exclusion restrictions on the …

[HTML][HTML] Recent developments in partial identification

B Kline, E Tamer - Annual Review of Economics, 2023 - annualreviews.org
Identification strategies concern what can be learned about the value of a parameter based
on the data and the model assumptions. The literature on partial identification is motivated …

On the empirical (ir) relevance of the zero lower bound constraint

D Debortoli, J Galí, L Gambetti - NBER Macroeconomics …, 2020 - journals.uchicago.edu
We evaluate the hypothesis that the zero lower bound (ZLB) constraint was, in practice,
irrelevant during the recent ZLB episode experienced by the US economy (the 2009Q1 …

Structural vector autoregressions

L Kilian - Handbook of research methods and applications in …, 2013 - elgaronline.com
Notwithstanding the increased use of estimated dynamic stochastic general equilibrium
(DSGE) models over the last decade, structural vector autoregressive (VAR) models …

What drives oil prices? Emerging versus developed economies

KA Aastveit, HC Bjørnland… - Journal of Applied …, 2015 - Wiley Online Library
We explore the role of demand from emerging and developed economies as drivers of the
real price of oil. Using a FAVAR model that identifies shocks from different regions of the …