Uncertainty before and during COVID‐19: A survey

E Castelnuovo - Journal of Economic Surveys, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
This survey features three parts. The first one reviews the most recent literature on the
relationship between domestic (ie, country‐specific) uncertainty and the business cycle, and …

Modeling uncertainty as ambiguity: A review

CL Ilut, M Schneider - 2022 - nber.org
We survey literature on ambiguity with an emphasis on recent applications in
macroeconomics and finance. Like risk, ambiguity leads to cautious behavior and …

Uncertainty and business cycles: exogenous impulse or endogenous response?

SC Ludvigson, S Ma, S Ng - American Economic Journal …, 2021 - aeaweb.org
Uncertainty about the future rises in recessions. But is uncertainty a source of business
cycles or an endogenous response to them, and does the type of uncertainty matter? We …

Is economic uncertainty priced in the cross-section of stock returns?

TG Bali, SJ Brown, Y Tang - Journal of Financial Economics, 2017 - Elsevier
We investigate the role of economic uncertainty in the cross-sectional pricing of individual
stocks and equity portfolios. We estimate stock exposure to an economic uncertainty index …

Policy uncertainty, investment, and the cost of capital

W Drobetz, S El Ghoul, O Guedhami… - Journal of Financial …, 2018 - Elsevier
We examine the effect of economic policy uncertainty on the relation between investment
and the cost of capital. Using the news-based index developed by Baker et al.(2016) for …

Uncertainty shocks and business cycle research

J Fernández-Villaverde… - Review of economic …, 2020 - Elsevier
We review the literature on uncertainty shocks and business cycle research. First, we
motivate the study of uncertainty shocks by documenting the presence of time-variation in …

Monetary policy, redistribution, and risk premia

R Kekre, M Lenel - Econometrica, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
We study the transmission of monetary policy through risk premia in a heterogeneous agent
New Keynesian environment. Heterogeneity in households' marginal propensity to take risk …

High discounts and high unemployment

RE Hall - American Economic Review, 2017 - aeaweb.org
Unemployment is high when financial discounts are high. In recessions, the stock market
falls and all types of investment fall, including employers' investment in job creation. The …

Uncertainty and unemployment

E Schaal - Econometrica, 2017 - Wiley Online Library
This paper studies the impact of time‐varying idiosyncratic risk at the establishment level on
unemployment fluctuations over 1972–2009. I build a tractable directed search model with …

Escaping the great recession

F Bianchi, L Melosi - American Economic Review, 2017 - aeaweb.org
We show that policy uncertainty about how the rising public debt will be stabilized accounts
for the lack of deflation in the US economy at the zero lower bound. We first estimate a …