Future directions in nowcasting economic activity: A systematic literature review
A Stundziene, V Pilinkiene… - Journal of Economic …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
This paper presents a systematic review of research papers on nowcasting economic
activity. The study summarizes the state‐of‐the‐art nowcasting approaches and methods …
activity. The study summarizes the state‐of‐the‐art nowcasting approaches and methods …
Nowcasting with large Bayesian vector autoregressions
Monitoring economic conditions in real time, or nowcasting, and Big Data analytics share
some challenges, sometimes called the three “Vs”. Indeed, nowcasting is characterized by …
some challenges, sometimes called the three “Vs”. Indeed, nowcasting is characterized by …
Financial stress and economic dynamics: The case of France
S Aboura, B Van Roye - International Economics, 2017 - Elsevier
In this paper, we develop a financial stress index (FSI) that can be used as a real-time
composite indicator for the state of financial stability. We take 17 financial variables from …
composite indicator for the state of financial stability. We take 17 financial variables from …
Using low frequency information for predicting high frequency variables
We analyze ways of incorporating low frequency information into models for the prediction of
high frequency variables. In doing so, we consider the two existing versions of the mixed …
high frequency variables. In doing so, we consider the two existing versions of the mixed …
Combined density nowcasting in an uncertain economic environment
KA Aastveit, F Ravazzolo… - Journal of Business & …, 2018 - Taylor & Francis
We introduce a combined density nowcasting (CDN) approach to dynamic factor models
(DFM) that in a coherent way accounts for time-varying uncertainty of several model and …
(DFM) that in a coherent way accounts for time-varying uncertainty of several model and …
Real-time forecasting and scenario analysis using a large mixed-frequency Bayesian VAR
MW McCracken, M Owyang… - FRB St. Louis Working …, 2015 - papers.ssrn.com
We use a mixed-frequency vector autoregression to obtain intraquarter point and density
forecasts as new, high frequency information becomes available. This model, delineated in …
forecasts as new, high frequency information becomes available. This model, delineated in …
Monthly forecasting of GDP with mixed-frequency multivariate singular spectrum analysis
The literature on mixed-frequency models is relatively recent and has found applications
across economics and finance. The standard application in economics considers the use of …
across economics and finance. The standard application in economics considers the use of …
Tracking economic activity with alternative high-frequency data
F Eckert, P Kronenberg, H Mikosch… - Available at SSRN …, 2022 - papers.ssrn.com
Most macroeconomic series failed to capture the sharp fluctuations during the COVID-19
pandemic. Also, it proved difficult to extract business cycle information from alternative high …
pandemic. Also, it proved difficult to extract business cycle information from alternative high …
Weighted maximum likelihood for dynamic factor analysis and forecasting with mixed frequency data
F Blasques, SJ Koopman, M Mallee, Z Zhang - Journal of Econometrics, 2016 - Elsevier
For the purpose of forecasting key macroeconomic or financial variables from a panel of time
series variables, we adopt the dynamic factor model and propose a weighted likelihood …
series variables, we adopt the dynamic factor model and propose a weighted likelihood …
Are low frequency macroeconomic variables important for high frequency electricity prices?
Recent research finds that forecasting electricity prices is very relevant. In many
applications, it might be interesting to predict daily electricity prices by using their own lags …
applications, it might be interesting to predict daily electricity prices by using their own lags …