Future directions in nowcasting economic activity: A systematic literature review

A Stundziene, V Pilinkiene… - Journal of Economic …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
This paper presents a systematic review of research papers on nowcasting economic
activity. The study summarizes the state‐of‐the‐art nowcasting approaches and methods …

Nowcasting with large Bayesian vector autoregressions

J Cimadomo, D Giannone, M Lenza, F Monti… - Journal of …, 2022 - Elsevier
Monitoring economic conditions in real time, or nowcasting, and Big Data analytics share
some challenges, sometimes called the three “Vs”. Indeed, nowcasting is characterized by …

Financial stress and economic dynamics: The case of France

S Aboura, B Van Roye - International Economics, 2017 - Elsevier
In this paper, we develop a financial stress index (FSI) that can be used as a real-time
composite indicator for the state of financial stability. We take 17 financial variables from …

Using low frequency information for predicting high frequency variables

C Foroni, P Guérin, M Marcellino - International Journal of Forecasting, 2018 - Elsevier
We analyze ways of incorporating low frequency information into models for the prediction of
high frequency variables. In doing so, we consider the two existing versions of the mixed …

Combined density nowcasting in an uncertain economic environment

KA Aastveit, F Ravazzolo… - Journal of Business & …, 2018 - Taylor & Francis
We introduce a combined density nowcasting (CDN) approach to dynamic factor models
(DFM) that in a coherent way accounts for time-varying uncertainty of several model and …

Real-time forecasting and scenario analysis using a large mixed-frequency Bayesian VAR

MW McCracken, M Owyang… - FRB St. Louis Working …, 2015 - papers.ssrn.com
We use a mixed-frequency vector autoregression to obtain intraquarter point and density
forecasts as new, high frequency information becomes available. This model, delineated in …

Monthly forecasting of GDP with mixed-frequency multivariate singular spectrum analysis

H Hassani, A Rua, ES Silva, D Thomakos - International Journal of …, 2019 - Elsevier
The literature on mixed-frequency models is relatively recent and has found applications
across economics and finance. The standard application in economics considers the use of …

Tracking economic activity with alternative high-frequency data

F Eckert, P Kronenberg, H Mikosch… - Available at SSRN …, 2022 - papers.ssrn.com
Most macroeconomic series failed to capture the sharp fluctuations during the COVID-19
pandemic. Also, it proved difficult to extract business cycle information from alternative high …

Weighted maximum likelihood for dynamic factor analysis and forecasting with mixed frequency data

F Blasques, SJ Koopman, M Mallee, Z Zhang - Journal of Econometrics, 2016 - Elsevier
For the purpose of forecasting key macroeconomic or financial variables from a panel of time
series variables, we adopt the dynamic factor model and propose a weighted likelihood …

Are low frequency macroeconomic variables important for high frequency electricity prices?

C Foroni, F Ravazzolo, L Rossini - Economic Modelling, 2023 - Elsevier
Recent research finds that forecasting electricity prices is very relevant. In many
applications, it might be interesting to predict daily electricity prices by using their own lags …