Loan supply, credit markets and the euro area financial crisis

C Altavilla, MD Paries, G Nicoletti - Journal of Banking & Finance, 2019 - Elsevier
We derive a measure of loan supply shocks from proprietary bank-level information on credit
standards from the euro area Bank Lending Survey (BLS) controlling for both …

On corporate borrowing, credit spreads and economic activity in emerging economies: An empirical investigation

J Caballero, A Fernández, J Park - Journal of International Economics, 2019 - Elsevier
We document a considerable increase in foreign financing by the corporate sector in
emerging economies (EMEs) since the early 2000s, mainly in the form of bond issuance …

Are the effects of financial market disruptions big or small?

R Barnichon, C Matthes, A Ziegenbein - Review of Economics and …, 2022 - direct.mit.edu
While episodes of financial distress are followed by large and persistent drops in economic
activity, structural time series analyses point to relatively mild and transitory effects of …

Credit default swap spreads: market conditions, firm performance, and the impact of the 2007–2009 financial crisis

X Fu, MC Li, P Molyneux - Empirical Economics, 2021 - Springer
We employ a multi-factor analysis from both a firm-specific (microeconomic) and market-
specific (macroeconomic) perspective to examine the determinants of credit default swap …

Measuring financial fragmentation in the euro area corporate bond market

G Horny, S Manganelli, B Mojon - Journal of Risk and Financial …, 2018 - mdpi.com
This paper analyses the determinants of euro area non-financial corporate bonds since the
early 2000s, so as to gauge deviations from the law of one price. We decompose the spread …

Insurgency and small wars: Estimation of unobserved coalition structures

F Trebbi, E Weese - Econometrica, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
Insurgency and guerrilla warfare impose enormous socio‐economic costs and often persist
for decades. The opacity of such forms of conflict is an obstacle to effective international …

Early warning indicator systems for real estate investments: Empirical evidence and some thoughts from the perspective of financial risk management

M Rodriguez Gonzalez, T Basse, F Kunze… - Zeitschrift für die …, 2018 - Springer
In recent years, early warning indicators and real estate—as an increasingly relevant asset
class—have received more and more attention in German insurers' investment strategies …

Optimal monetary policy with countercyclical credit spreads

M Airaudo, MP Olivero - Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
We study optimal monetary policy in a New‐Keynesian Dynamic Stochastic General
Equilibrium (DSGE) model with a credit channel and relationship lending in banking. We …

Systemic risk measures and distribution forecasting of macroeconomic shocks

G Chen, Y Liu, Y Zhang - International Review of Economics & Finance, 2021 - Elsevier
In this paper, we study the role of systemic risk in predictions of macroeconomic shocks in
four major countries, namely the United States, Japan, South Korea, and China. We propose …

[HTML][HTML] Do corporate credit spreads predict the real economy?

UK Chatterjee, F Bazzana - International Review of Economics & Finance, 2024 - Elsevier
We evaluate whether corporate credit-spreads measures contain predictive information
about the real US economy in a comprehensive specification that includes financial sectors' …