Aggregate supply in the United States: recent developments and implications for the conduct of monetary policy
The recent financial crisis and ensuing recession appear to have put the productive capacity
of the economy on a lower and shallower trajectory than the one that seemed to be in place …
of the economy on a lower and shallower trajectory than the one that seemed to be in place …
Longitudinal changes in mental health and the COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence from the UK Household Longitudinal Study
Background The COVID-19 pandemic has had a range of negative social and economic
effects that may contribute to a rise in mental health problems. In this observational …
effects that may contribute to a rise in mental health problems. In this observational …
Is the Phillips curve alive and well after all? Inflation expectations and the missing disinflation
O Coibion, Y Gorodnichenko - American Economic Journal …, 2015 - aeaweb.org
We evaluate explanations for the absence of disinflation during the Great Recession and
find popular explanations to be insufficient. We propose a new explanation for this puzzle …
find popular explanations to be insufficient. We propose a new explanation for this puzzle …
Distributional effects of the great recession: Where has all the sociology gone?
B Redbird, DB Grusky - Annual Review of Sociology, 2016 - annualreviews.org
We review the main distributional effects of the Great Recession and the ways in which
those effects have been organized into narratives. The Great Recession may affect poverty …
those effects have been organized into narratives. The Great Recession may affect poverty …
Productivity and Potential Output before, during, and after the Great Recession
JG Fernald - NBER macroeconomics annual, 2015 - journals.uchicago.edu
When we look back at the 1990s, from the perspective of say 2010,...[w] e may conceivably
conclude... that, at the turn of the millennium, the American economy was experiencing a …
conclude... that, at the turn of the millennium, the American economy was experiencing a …
[PDF][PDF] The trend is the cycle: Job polarization and jobless recoveries
N Jaimovich, HE Siu - NBER Working Paper Series, 2012 - nber.org
Job polarization refers to the recent shrinking concentration of employment in occupations in
the middle of the skill distribution. Jobless recoveries refers to the slow rebound in …
the middle of the skill distribution. Jobless recoveries refers to the slow rebound in …
Mismatch unemployment
A Şahin, J Song, G Topa, GL Violante - American Economic Review, 2014 - aeaweb.org
We develop a framework where mismatch between vacancies and job seekers across
sectors translates into higher unemployment by lowering the aggregate job-finding rate. We …
sectors translates into higher unemployment by lowering the aggregate job-finding rate. We …
High discounts and high unemployment
RE Hall - American Economic Review, 2017 - aeaweb.org
Unemployment is high when financial discounts are high. In recessions, the stock market
falls and all types of investment fall, including employers' investment in job creation. The …
falls and all types of investment fall, including employers' investment in job creation. The …
The Phillips curve is alive and well: Inflation and the NAIRU during the slow recovery
RJ Gordon - 2013 - nber.org
ABSTRACT The Phillips Curve (hereafter PC) is widely viewed as dead, destined to the
mortuary scrapyard of discarded economic ideas. The coroner's evidence consists of the …
mortuary scrapyard of discarded economic ideas. The coroner's evidence consists of the …
Facts and challenges from the great recession for forecasting and macroeconomic modeling
This paper provides a survey of business cycle facts, updated to take account of recent data.
Emphasis is given to the Great Recession, which was unlike most other postwar recessions …
Emphasis is given to the Great Recession, which was unlike most other postwar recessions …