The heterogeneous expectations hypothesis: Some evidence from the lab
C Hommes - Journal of Economic dynamics and control, 2011 - Elsevier
This paper surveys learning-to-forecast experiments (LtFEs) with human subjects to test
theories of expectations and learning. Subjects must repeatedly forecast a market price …
theories of expectations and learning. Subjects must repeatedly forecast a market price …
Behavioral and experimental macroeconomics and policy analysis: A complex systems approach
C Hommes - Journal of Economic Literature, 2021 - aeaweb.org
This survey discusses behavioral and experimental macroeconomics, emphasizing a
complex systems perspective. The economy consists of boundedly rational heterogeneous …
complex systems perspective. The economy consists of boundedly rational heterogeneous …
Heterogeneous agents in the macroeconomy: reduced-heterogeneity representations
X Ragot - Handbook of Computational Economics, 2018 - Elsevier
This chapter surveys heterogeneous agent models with rational expectations that deliver a
finite number of heterogeneous agents as an equilibrium outcomes. Instead of having a …
finite number of heterogeneous agents as an equilibrium outcomes. Instead of having a …
Managing self-organization of expectations through monetary policy: A macro experiment
Abstract The New Keynesian theory of inflation determination is tested in this paper by
means of laboratory experiments. We find that the Taylor principle is a necessary condition …
means of laboratory experiments. We find that the Taylor principle is a necessary condition …
Heterogeneous expectations in monetary DSGE models
D Massaro - Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2013 - Elsevier
This paper derives a general New Keynesian framework with heterogeneous expectations
by explicitly solving the micro-foundations underpinning the model. The resulting reduced …
by explicitly solving the micro-foundations underpinning the model. The resulting reduced …
The science of monetary policy: An imperfect knowledge perspective
S Eusepi, B Preston - Journal of Economic Literature, 2018 - aeaweb.org
This paper reevaluates the basic prescriptions of monetary policy design in the new
Keynesian paradigm through the lens of imperfect knowledge. We show that while the basic …
Keynesian paradigm through the lens of imperfect knowledge. We show that while the basic …
Heterogeneity, learning and information stickiness in inflation expectations
D Pfajfar, E Santoro - Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 2010 - Elsevier
In this paper we propose novel techniques for the empirical analysis of adaptive learning
and sticky information in inflation expectations. These methodologies are applied to the …
and sticky information in inflation expectations. These methodologies are applied to the …
[HTML][HTML] Monetary policy under behavioral expectations: Theory and experiment
Expectations play a crucial role in modern macroeconomic models. We consider a New
Keynesian framework under a behavioral model of expectation formation and under rational …
Keynesian framework under a behavioral model of expectation formation and under rational …
Interest rate rules and macroeconomic stability under heterogeneous expectations
The recent macroeconomic literature stresses the importance of managing heterogeneous
expectations in the formulation of monetary policy. We use a simple frictionless dynamic …
expectations in the formulation of monetary policy. We use a simple frictionless dynamic …
Behavioral learning equilibria
C Hommes, M Zhu - Journal of Economic Theory, 2014 - Elsevier
We propose behavioral learning equilibria, where boundedly rational agents learn to use a
simple univariate linear forecasting rule with correctly specified unconditional mean and first …
simple univariate linear forecasting rule with correctly specified unconditional mean and first …