Formal ways of representing uncertainty and various logics for reasoning about it; updated
with new material on weighted probability measures, complexity-theoretic considerations …

It is a recurring matra that epistemic must creates a statement that is weaker than the
corresponding flat-footed assertion: It must be raining vs. It's raining. Contrary to classic …

Previous work on the Dunning–Kruger effect has shown that poor performers often show
little insight into the shortcomings in their performance, presumably because they suffer a …

After an introductory section, this article will focus on four questions: How should the Kyoto
School be defined? What is meant by its central philosophical concept of “absolute …

There has been a remarkable increase in work at the interface of computer science and
game theory in the past decade. In this article I survey some of the main themes of work in …

The mathematical framework of psychological game theory is useful for describing many
forms of motivation where preferences depend directly on one's own or others' beliefs. It …

This article introduces a new approach to modeling the expanding universe of decision
makers in the wake of growing awareness, and invokes the axiomatic approach to model the …

Standard game theory assumes that the structure of the game is common knowledge among
players. We relax this assumption by considering extensive games where agents may be …

In the philosophy of science why-questions are a way to address the foundations of scientific
explanation. For Bas van Fraassen (1980), a theory of explanation is essentially a theory of …

Research Summary This article explicitly introduces cognitive considerations into the
treatment of strategic interactions, using the value‐based framework as an extended …