Developing, testing, and communicating earthquake forecasts: Current practices and future directions
L Mizrahi, I Dallo, NJ van der Elst… - Reviews of …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
While deterministically predicting the time and location of earthquakes remains impossible,
earthquake forecasting models can provide estimates of the probabilities of earthquakes …
earthquake forecasting models can provide estimates of the probabilities of earthquakes …
A review of 15 years of public earthquake forecasting in Aotearoa New Zealand
MC Gerstenberger… - Seismological …, 2024 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
New Zealand entered a period of increased seismic activity in 2003, which, to date, has
included around 20 large or damaging earthquakes. Building on decades of forecast model …
included around 20 large or damaging earthquakes. Building on decades of forecast model …
One neuron versus deep learning in aftershock prediction
A Mignan, M Broccardo - Nature, 2019 - nature.com
Forecasting the spatial distribution of aftershocks in the aftermath of large seismic events is
of great importance for improving both our understanding of earthquake triggering and post …
of great importance for improving both our understanding of earthquake triggering and post …
Improving physics‐based aftershock forecasts during the 2016–2017 Central Italy Earthquake Cascade
Abstract The 2016–2017 Central Apennines earthquake sequence is a recent example of
how damages from subsequent aftershocks can exceed those caused by the initial …
how damages from subsequent aftershocks can exceed those caused by the initial …
Stress transfer from opening hydraulic fractures controls the distribution of induced seismicity
Understanding the dominant physical processes that cause fault reactivation due to fluid
injection is vital to develop strategies to avoid and mitigate injection‐induced seismicity …
injection is vital to develop strategies to avoid and mitigate injection‐induced seismicity …
Panel review of the USGS 2023 conterminous US time‐independent earthquake rupture forecast
TH Jordan, N Abrahamson… - Bulletin of the …, 2024 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
This report documents the assessment by the US Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake
Rupture Forecast (ERF) Review Panel of the draft ERF for the conterminous United States …
Rupture Forecast (ERF) Review Panel of the draft ERF for the conterminous United States …
suiETAS: Developing and testing ETAS‐based earthquake forecasting models for Switzerland
L Mizrahi, S Nandan… - Bulletin of the …, 2024 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
We present the development and testing of multiple epidemic‐type aftershock sequence
(ETAS)‐based earthquake forecasting models for Switzerland, aiming to identify suitable …
(ETAS)‐based earthquake forecasting models for Switzerland, aiming to identify suitable …
Pseudoprospective evaluation of UCERF3‐ETAS forecasts during the 2019 Ridgecrest sequence
WH Savran, MJ Werner… - Bulletin of the …, 2020 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
The 2019 Ridgecrest sequence provides the first opportunity to evaluate Uniform California
Earthquake Rupture Forecast v. 3 with epidemic‐type aftershock sequences (UCERF3 …
Earthquake Rupture Forecast v. 3 with epidemic‐type aftershock sequences (UCERF3 …
The predictive skills of elastic Coulomb rate‐and‐state aftershock forecasts during the 2019 Ridgecrest, California, earthquake sequence
Operational earthquake forecasting protocols commonly use statistical models for their
recognized ease of implementation and robustness in describing the short‐term …
recognized ease of implementation and robustness in describing the short‐term …
A software tool for hybrid earthquake forecasting in New Zealand
KM Graham, A Christophersen… - Seismological …, 2024 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
Earthquake forecasts estimate the likelihood of seismic activity within a specific region over
a given timeframe, utilizing historical data and patterns from past earthquakes. In New …
a given timeframe, utilizing historical data and patterns from past earthquakes. In New …