Past and future ocean warming

L Cheng, K von Schuckmann, JP Abraham… - Nature Reviews Earth & …, 2022 - nature.com
Abstract Changes in ocean heat content (OHC) provide a measure of ocean warming, with
impacts on the Earth system. This Review synthesizes estimates of past and future OHC …

The missing risks of climate change

J Rising, M Tedesco, F Piontek, DA Stainforth - Nature, 2022 - nature.com
The risks of climate change are enormous, threatening the lives and livelihoods of millions to
billions of people. The economic consequences of many of the complex risks associated …

Future global climate: scenario-based projections and near-term information

JY Lee, J Marotzke, G Bala, L Cao, S Corti… - Climate change 2021 …, 2021 - cambridge.org
This chapter assesses simulations of future global climate change, spanning time horizons
from the near term (2021–2040), mid-term (2041–2060), and long term (2081–2100) out to …

A low-to-no snow future and its impacts on water resources in the western United States

ER Siirila-Woodburn, AM Rhoades… - Nature Reviews Earth & …, 2021 - nature.com
Anthropogenic climate change is decreasing seasonal snowpacks globally, with potentially
catastrophic consequences on water resources, given the long-held reliance on snowpack …

Insights from Earth system model initial-condition large ensembles and future prospects

C Deser, F Lehner, KB Rodgers, T Ault… - Nature Climate …, 2020 - nature.com
Internal variability in the climate system confounds assessment of human-induced climate
change and imposes irreducible limits on the accuracy of climate change projections …

The timing of unprecedented hydrological drought under climate change

Y Satoh, K Yoshimura, Y Pokhrel, H Kim… - Nature …, 2022 - nature.com
Droughts that exceed the magnitudes of historical variation ranges could occur increasingly
frequently under future climate conditions. However, the time of the emergence of …

Framing, Context, and Methods (Chapter 1)

D Chen, M Rojas, BH Samset, K Cobb… - 2021 - pure.iiasa.ac.at
Working Group I (WGI) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) assesses
the current evidence on the physical science of climate change, evaluating knowledge …

[HTML][HTML] Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple large ensembles and CMIP5/6

F Lehner, C Deser, N Maher, J Marotzke… - Earth System …, 2020 - esd.copernicus.org
Partitioning uncertainty in projections of future climate change into contributions from
internal variability, model response uncertainty and emissions scenarios has historically …

[HTML][HTML] North Atlantic climate far more predictable than models imply

DM Smith, AA Scaife, R Eade, P Athanasiadis… - Nature, 2020 - nature.com
Quantifying signals and uncertainties in climate models is essential for the detection,
attribution, prediction and projection of climate change,–. Although inter-model agreement is …

Storylines: an alternative approach to representing uncertainty in physical aspects of climate change

TG Shepherd, E Boyd, RA Calel, SC Chapman… - Climatic change, 2018 - Springer
As climate change research becomes increasingly applied, the need for actionable
information is growing rapidly. A key aspect of this requirement is the representation of …