Past and future ocean warming
Abstract Changes in ocean heat content (OHC) provide a measure of ocean warming, with
impacts on the Earth system. This Review synthesizes estimates of past and future OHC …
impacts on the Earth system. This Review synthesizes estimates of past and future OHC …
The missing risks of climate change
The risks of climate change are enormous, threatening the lives and livelihoods of millions to
billions of people. The economic consequences of many of the complex risks associated …
billions of people. The economic consequences of many of the complex risks associated …
Future global climate: scenario-based projections and near-term information
This chapter assesses simulations of future global climate change, spanning time horizons
from the near term (2021–2040), mid-term (2041–2060), and long term (2081–2100) out to …
from the near term (2021–2040), mid-term (2041–2060), and long term (2081–2100) out to …
A low-to-no snow future and its impacts on water resources in the western United States
ER Siirila-Woodburn, AM Rhoades… - Nature Reviews Earth & …, 2021 - nature.com
Anthropogenic climate change is decreasing seasonal snowpacks globally, with potentially
catastrophic consequences on water resources, given the long-held reliance on snowpack …
catastrophic consequences on water resources, given the long-held reliance on snowpack …
Insights from Earth system model initial-condition large ensembles and future prospects
Internal variability in the climate system confounds assessment of human-induced climate
change and imposes irreducible limits on the accuracy of climate change projections …
change and imposes irreducible limits on the accuracy of climate change projections …
The timing of unprecedented hydrological drought under climate change
Droughts that exceed the magnitudes of historical variation ranges could occur increasingly
frequently under future climate conditions. However, the time of the emergence of …
frequently under future climate conditions. However, the time of the emergence of …
[HTML][HTML] Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple large ensembles and CMIP5/6
Partitioning uncertainty in projections of future climate change into contributions from
internal variability, model response uncertainty and emissions scenarios has historically …
internal variability, model response uncertainty and emissions scenarios has historically …
[HTML][HTML] North Atlantic climate far more predictable than models imply
Quantifying signals and uncertainties in climate models is essential for the detection,
attribution, prediction and projection of climate change,–. Although inter-model agreement is …
attribution, prediction and projection of climate change,–. Although inter-model agreement is …
Storylines: an alternative approach to representing uncertainty in physical aspects of climate change
As climate change research becomes increasingly applied, the need for actionable
information is growing rapidly. A key aspect of this requirement is the representation of …
information is growing rapidly. A key aspect of this requirement is the representation of …