Drivers and impacts of Eastern African rainfall variability

PI Palmer, CM Wainwright, B Dong… - Nature Reviews Earth & …, 2023 - nature.com
Eastern Africa exhibits bimodal rainfall consisting of long rains (March–May) and short rains
(October–December), changes in which have profound socioeconomic and environmental …

Convection‐permitting modeling with regional climate models: Latest developments and next steps

P Lucas‐Picher, D Argüeso, E Brisson… - Wiley …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Approximately 10 years ago, convection‐permitting regional climate models (CPRCMs)
emerged as a promising computationally affordable tool to produce fine resolution (1–4 km) …

Challenges and outlook for convection-permitting climate modelling

EJ Kendon, AF Prein, CA Senior… - … Transactions of the …, 2021 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Climate projections at very high resolution (kilometre-scale grid spacing) are becoming
affordable. These 'convection-permitting'models (CPMs), commonly used for weather …

Global climatology and trends in convective environments from ERA5 and rawinsonde data

M Taszarek, JT Allen, M Marchio… - NPJ climate and …, 2021 - nature.com
Globally, thunderstorms are responsible for a significant fraction of rainfall, and in the mid-
latitudes often produce extreme weather, including large hail, tornadoes and damaging …

[HTML][HTML] Convection permitting regional climate change simulations for understanding future climate and informing decision making in Africa

CA Senior, JH Marsham, S Berthou… - Bulletin of the …, 2021 - journals.ametsoc.org
Pan-Africa convection-permitting regional climate model simulations have been performed
to study the impact of high resolution and the explicit representation of atmospheric moist …

Contrasting future lightning stories across Europe

A Kahraman, EJ Kendon, HJ Fowler… - Environmental …, 2022 - iopscience.iop.org
Thunderstorms are the most common source of hazardous weather at local scales, but are
poorly represented in conventional climate models, resulting in high uncertainty in future …

Contrasting lightning projection using the lightning potential index adapted in a convection-permitting regional climate model

E Brisson, U Blahak, P Lucas-Picher, C Purr… - Climate Dynamics, 2021 - Springer
Lightning climate change projections show large uncertainties caused by limited empirical
knowledge and strong assumptions inherent to coarse-grid climate modeling. This study …

Significant increase in graupel and lightning occurrence in a warmer climate simulated by prognostic graupel parameterization

T Michibata - Scientific reports, 2024 - nature.com
There is little consensus among global climate models (CGMs) regarding the response of
lightning flash rates to past and future climate change, largely due to graupel not being …

Is Amazon deforestation decreasing the number of thunderstorms over South America?

R Bekenshtein, C Price… - Quarterly Journal of the …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Lightning activity has been predicted to increase with global warming, though estimates of
lightning sensitivity to a change of temperature vary widely. Since lightning is a small‐scale …

Lightning threatens permafrost

DL Finney - Nature Climate Change, 2021 - nature.com
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