The climate variability trio: stochastic fluctuations, El Niño, and the seasonal cycle

MF Stuecker - Geoscience Letters, 2023 - Springer
Climate variability has distinct spatial patterns with the strongest signal of sea surface
temperature (SST) variance residing in the tropical Pacific. This interannual climate …

Possible shift in controls of the tropical Pacific surface warming pattern

M Watanabe, SM Kang, M Collins, YT Hwang… - Nature, 2024 - nature.com
Abstract Changes in the sea surface temperature (SST) pattern in the tropical Pacific
modulate radiative feedbacks to greenhouse gas forcing, the pace of global warming and …

Coral Sr/Ca-SST reconstruction from Fiji extending to~ 1370 CE reveals insights into the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation

JP D'olivo, J Zinke, R Goyal, MH England, A Purich… - Science …, 2024 - science.org
The southwestern tropical Pacific is a key center for the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation
(IPO), which regulates global climate. This study introduces a groundbreaking 627-year …

Synchronous decadal climate variability in the tropical Central Pacific and tropical South Atlantic

C Liu, SI An, SK Kim, MF Stuecker, W Zhang… - npj Climate and …, 2024 - nature.com
Pantropical climate interactions across ocean basins operate on a wide range of timescales
and can improve the accuracy of climate predictions. Here, we show in observations that …

[HTML][HTML] Atmospheric precursors of skillful SST prediction in the Northeast Pacific

AA Cluett, MG Jacox, DJ Amaya… - Journal of …, 2024 - journals.ametsoc.org
Forecasts of sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTAs) provide essential information to
stakeholders of marine resources in coastal ecosystems, such as the California Current …

Uncertainty in the Past and Future Changes of Tropical Pacific SST Zonal Gradient: Internal Variability versus Model Spread

Z Wang, L Dong, F Song, T Zhou, X Chen - Journal of Climate, 2024 - journals.ametsoc.org
The zonal sea surface temperature (SST) gradient across the tropical Pacific is a pacemaker
of the variable rates of global warming. In both historical simulations and future projections …

Positive feedback between the negative phase of interannual component of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation and La Niña

HS Tang, Y Zhang, Y Kosaka, JC Yang, Q Shu, Y Liu… - Climate Dynamics, 2024 - Springer
Abstract The Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) is the leading mode of sea surface
temperature (SST) anomalies in the North Pacific. It dominantly varies on decadal-to …

Retrieving Global Ocean Subsurface Density by Combining Remote Sensing Observations and Multiscale Mixed Residual Transformer

H Su, J Qiu, Z Tang, Z Huang… - IEEE Transactions on …, 2024 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Subsurface density (SD) is a crucial dynamic environment parameter reflecting a 3-D ocean
process and stratification, with significant implications for the physical, chemical, and …

Strengthening of the equatorial Pacific upper‐ocean circulation over the past three decades

FP Tuchen, RC Perez, GR Foltz… - Journal of …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract Thirty years (1993–2022) of concurrent satellite and in‐situ observations show a
long‐term strengthening of the equatorial Pacific upper‐ocean circulation. Enhanced …

Predictability of tropical Pacific decadal variability is dominated by oceanic Rossby waves

X Wu, SG Yeager, C Deser, A Capotondi… - npj Climate and …, 2024 - nature.com
Despite its pronounced global impacts, tropical Pacific decadal variability (TPDV) is poorly
predicted by current climate models due to model deficiencies and a limited understanding …