Brexit and the macroeconomic impact of trade policy uncertainty
JB Steinberg - Journal of International Economics, 2019 - Elsevier
Abstract On June 23, 2016, the United Kingdom voted to leave the European Union. The
trade policies that will replace EU membership are uncertain, however, and speculation …
trade policies that will replace EU membership are uncertain, however, and speculation …
[HTML][HTML] House Bubbles, global imbalances and monetary policy in the US
A Evgenidis, A Malliaris - Journal of International Money and Finance, 2023 - Elsevier
This paper examines the factors driving housing price exuberance in the United States,
specifically the influence of expansionary monetary policies and the global saving glut. We …
specifically the influence of expansionary monetary policies and the global saving glut. We …
Capital markets and the costs of climate policies
M Leimbach, N Bauer - Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, 2022 - Springer
Globalization is accompanied by increasing current account imbalances. They can
undermine the positive impacts of increasing international cooperation and trade on …
undermine the positive impacts of increasing international cooperation and trade on …
US trade deficit, a reality check: New evidence incorporating asymmetric and non‐linear effects of exchange rate dynamics
In the context of the debate on the global imbalances, this study investigates the
determinants of US trade balance in a non‐linear ARDL framework, which accounts for the …
determinants of US trade balance in a non‐linear ARDL framework, which accounts for the …
[HTML][HTML] One man's bubble is another man's rational behavior: comparing alternative macroeconomic hypotheses for the US housing market
Competing macroeconomic hypotheses have been developed to explain the US housing
market and possible bubble behavior. We employ both seasonally adjusted (SA) and non …
market and possible bubble behavior. We employ both seasonally adjusted (SA) and non …
Demographics and the evolution of global imbalances
M Sposi - Journal of Monetary Economics, 2022 - Elsevier
The age distribution influences capital flows through aggregate saving and labor supply. To
quantify this, I build a dynamic model featuring overlapping generations and international …
quantify this, I build a dynamic model featuring overlapping generations and international …
The macroeconomic impact of NAFTA termination
JB Steinberg - … Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d' …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
US President Trump has threatened to leave the North American Free Trade Agreement.
How much would each member country gain or lose if this threat were carried out? Would …
How much would each member country gain or lose if this threat were carried out? Would …
Asymmetric effects of US monetary policy on the US bilateral trade deficit with China: A Markov switching ARDL model approach
This study investigates the dynamics between US monetary policy and its bilateral trade
deficit with China. Applying an ARDL version plugged into the Markov switching model to …
deficit with China. Applying an ARDL version plugged into the Markov switching model to …
Five themes of US home price cycles: a dynamic modelling approach
Abstract After the Global Financial Crisis, the US housing market has been studied
extensively from several dimensions to assess the causes for the price crash during 2007 …
extensively from several dimensions to assess the causes for the price crash during 2007 …
Trade Wars with Trade Deficits
P Pujolas, J Rossbach - arXiv preprint arXiv:2411.15092, 2024 - arxiv.org
Trade imbalances significantly alter the welfare implications of tariffs. Using an illustrative
model, we show that trade deficits enhance a country's ability to alter its terms of trade, and …
model, we show that trade deficits enhance a country's ability to alter its terms of trade, and …