[HTML][HTML] Past abrupt changes, tipping points and cascading impacts in the Earth system
The geological record shows that abrupt changes in the Earth system can occur on
timescales short enough to challenge the capacity of human societies to adapt to …
timescales short enough to challenge the capacity of human societies to adapt to …
Climate change, ecosystems and abrupt change: science priorities
Ecologists have long studied patterns, directions and tempos of change, but there is a
pressing need to extend current understanding to empirical observations of abrupt changes …
pressing need to extend current understanding to empirical observations of abrupt changes …
Physics-based early warning signal shows that AMOC is on tipping course
RM van Westen, M Kliphuis, HA Dijkstra - Science advances, 2024 - science.org
One of the most prominent climate tipping elements is the Atlantic meridional overturning
circulation (AMOC), which can potentially collapse because of the input of fresh water in the …
circulation (AMOC), which can potentially collapse because of the input of fresh water in the …
[HTML][HTML] Global warming overshoots increase risks of climate tipping cascades in a network model
N Wunderling, R Winkelmann, J Rockström… - Nature Climate …, 2023 - nature.com
Current policies and actions make it very likely, at least temporarily, to overshoot the Paris
climate targets of 1.5–< 2.0° C above pre-industrial levels. If this global warming range is …
climate targets of 1.5–< 2.0° C above pre-industrial levels. If this global warming range is …
Interacting tipping elements increase risk of climate domino effects under global warming
There exists a range of subsystems in the climate system exhibiting threshold behaviour
which could be triggered under global warming within this century resulting in severe …
which could be triggered under global warming within this century resulting in severe …
Cascading regime shifts within and across scales
Regime shifts are large, abrupt, and persistent critical transitions in the function and structure
of ecosystems. Yet, it is unknown how these transitions will interact, whether the occurrence …
of ecosystems. Yet, it is unknown how these transitions will interact, whether the occurrence …
Operationalising positive tipping points towards global sustainability
TM Lenton, S Benson, T Smith, T Ewer, V Lanel… - Global …, 2022 - cambridge.org
Non-technical summary Transforming towards global sustainability requires a dramatic
acceleration of social change. Hence, there is growing interest in finding 'positive tipping …
acceleration of social change. Hence, there is growing interest in finding 'positive tipping …
Critical slowing down suggests that the western Greenland Ice Sheet is close to a tipping point
The Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS) is a potentially unstable component of the Earth system and
may exhibit a critical transition under ongoing global warming. Mass reductions of the GrIS …
may exhibit a critical transition under ongoing global warming. Mass reductions of the GrIS …
[HTML][HTML] Overshooting tipping point thresholds in a changing climate
Palaeorecords suggest that the climate system has tipping points, where small changes in
forcing cause substantial and irreversible alteration to Earth system components called …
forcing cause substantial and irreversible alteration to Earth system components called …
Mechanisms and impacts of Earth system tipping elements
Tipping elements are components of the Earth system which may respond nonlinearly to
anthropogenic climate change by transitioning toward substantially different long‐term …
anthropogenic climate change by transitioning toward substantially different long‐term …