[HTML][HTML] Past abrupt changes, tipping points and cascading impacts in the Earth system

V Brovkin, E Brook, JW Williams, S Bathiany… - Nature …, 2021 - nature.com
The geological record shows that abrupt changes in the Earth system can occur on
timescales short enough to challenge the capacity of human societies to adapt to …

Climate change, ecosystems and abrupt change: science priorities

MG Turner, WJ Calder… - … of the Royal …, 2020 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Ecologists have long studied patterns, directions and tempos of change, but there is a
pressing need to extend current understanding to empirical observations of abrupt changes …

Physics-based early warning signal shows that AMOC is on tipping course

RM van Westen, M Kliphuis, HA Dijkstra - Science advances, 2024 - science.org
One of the most prominent climate tipping elements is the Atlantic meridional overturning
circulation (AMOC), which can potentially collapse because of the input of fresh water in the …

[HTML][HTML] Global warming overshoots increase risks of climate tipping cascades in a network model

N Wunderling, R Winkelmann, J Rockström… - Nature Climate …, 2023 - nature.com
Current policies and actions make it very likely, at least temporarily, to overshoot the Paris
climate targets of 1.5–< 2.0° C above pre-industrial levels. If this global warming range is …

Interacting tipping elements increase risk of climate domino effects under global warming

N Wunderling, JF Donges, J Kurths… - Earth System …, 2020 - esd.copernicus.org
There exists a range of subsystems in the climate system exhibiting threshold behaviour
which could be triggered under global warming within this century resulting in severe …

Cascading regime shifts within and across scales

JC Rocha, G Peterson, Ö Bodin, S Levin - Science, 2018 - science.org
Regime shifts are large, abrupt, and persistent critical transitions in the function and structure
of ecosystems. Yet, it is unknown how these transitions will interact, whether the occurrence …

Operationalising positive tipping points towards global sustainability

TM Lenton, S Benson, T Smith, T Ewer, V Lanel… - Global …, 2022 - cambridge.org
Non-technical summary Transforming towards global sustainability requires a dramatic
acceleration of social change. Hence, there is growing interest in finding 'positive tipping …

Critical slowing down suggests that the western Greenland Ice Sheet is close to a tipping point

N Boers, M Rypdal - … of the National Academy of Sciences, 2021 - National Acad Sciences
The Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS) is a potentially unstable component of the Earth system and
may exhibit a critical transition under ongoing global warming. Mass reductions of the GrIS …

[HTML][HTML] Overshooting tipping point thresholds in a changing climate

PDL Ritchie, JJ Clarke, PM Cox, C Huntingford - Nature, 2021 - nature.com
Palaeorecords suggest that the climate system has tipping points, where small changes in
forcing cause substantial and irreversible alteration to Earth system components called …

Mechanisms and impacts of Earth system tipping elements

S Wang, A Foster, EA Lenz, JD Kessler… - Reviews of …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Tipping elements are components of the Earth system which may respond nonlinearly to
anthropogenic climate change by transitioning toward substantially different long‐term …