Applied ecology has traditionally approached management problems through a simplified,
single-species lens. Repeated failures of single-species management have led us to a new …

The past 100 years of ecological research has seen substantial progress in understanding
the natural world and likely effects of change, whether natural or anthropogenic. Traditional …

Efficient management of biodiversity requires a forward‐looking approach based on
scenarios that explore biodiversity changes under future environmental conditions. A …

In a rapidly changing world, ecology has the potential to move from empirical and
conceptual stages to application and management issues. It is now possible to make large …

Ecological forecasting provides a powerful set of methods for predicting short‐and long‐term
change in living systems. Forecasts are now widely produced, enabling proactive …

Forecasts of ecological dynamics in changing environments are increasingly important, and
are available for a plethora of variables, such as species abundance and distribution …

In response to multiple stressors, coral reef health has declined in recent decades, with reefs
exhibiting reduced living coral and structural complexity, and a concomitant rise in the …

Quantitative predictions are ubiquitous in ecology, yet there is limited discussion on the
nature of prediction in this field. Herein I derive a general quantitative framework for …

Process‐based models are becoming increasingly used tools for understanding how
species are likely to respond to environmental changes and to potential management …

Ecosystems are exposed to multiple stressors which can compromise functioning and
service delivery. These stressors often co‐occur and interact in different ways which are not …