Skilful climate predictions of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation and Arctic Oscillation out to
a few months ahead have recently been demonstrated, but the source of this predictability …

When local extreme water levels surpass defences, the consequences can be devastating.
We assess the importance of sea-level rise and future weather pattern changes on UK …

Winter 2013/2014 was exceptionally wet and stormy as a succession of deep Atlantic low
pressure systems, associated with a powerful jet stream, affected the UK. A major storm …

The Short-Term Ensemble Prediction System (STEPS) is implemented in real-time at the
Royal Meteorological Institute (RMI) of Belgium. The main idea behind STEPS is to quantify …

Day-to-day weather forecasting has improved substantially over the past few decades. In
contrast, progress in seasonal prediction outside the tropics has been meagre and mixed …

Skillful Seasonal Forecasts of Winter Disruption to the UK Transport System in: Journal of
Applied Meteorology and Climatology Volume 55 Issue 2 (2016) Jump to Content Jump to Main …

Seasonal river flow forecasts are beneficial for planning agricultural activities, river
navigation, and for management of reservoirs for public water supply and hydropower …

This paper will look at a selection of storms from the winter of 2013/2014 that led to coastal
flooding in parts of England and Wales. The first part will examine events in early December …

Ensemble versus Deterministic Performance at the Kilometer Scale in: Weather and Forecasting
Volume 32 Issue 5 (2017) Jump to Content Jump to Main Navigation Logo Logo Logo Logo …

Abstract In the 2013/2014 winter, the eastern US was exceptionally cold, the Bering Strait
region was exceptionally warm, California was in the midst of drought, and the UK suffered …