Forecasting with Bayesian vector autoregression
S Karlsson - Handbook of economic forecasting, 2013 - Elsevier
This chapter reviews Bayesian methods for inference and forecasting with VAR models.
Bayesian inference and, by extension, forecasting depends on numerical methods for …
Bayesian inference and, by extension, forecasting depends on numerical methods for …
Inference based on structural vector autoregressions identified with sign and zero restrictions: Theory and applications
In this paper, we develop algorithms to independently draw from a family of conjugate
posterior distributions over the structural parameterization when sign and zero restrictions …
posterior distributions over the structural parameterization when sign and zero restrictions …
[PDF][PDF] Bayesian econometrics
D Book, AR Hassan - 2021 - besmarter-team.org
In this course we perform an introduction to Bayesian methods, we show some basic
definitions and properties of the bayesian approach. We have taken the content from the …
definitions and properties of the bayesian approach. We have taken the content from the …
Testing of unit root and other nonstationary hypotheses in macroeconomic time series
LA Gil-Alana, PM Robinson - Journal of Econometrics, 1997 - Elsevier
Recently proposed tests for unit root and other nonstationarity of Robinson (1994a) are
applied to an extended version of the data set used by Nelson and Plosser (1982) …
applied to an extended version of the data set used by Nelson and Plosser (1982) …
Inference based on SVARs identified with sign and zero restrictions: Theory and applications
Are optimism shocks an important source of business cycle fluctuations? Are deficit-financed
tax cuts better than deficit-financed spending to increase output? These questions have …
tax cuts better than deficit-financed spending to increase output? These questions have …
Fiscal policy and trade adjustment: are the deficits really twins?
JA Rosensweig, EW Tallman - Economic Inquiry, 1993 - Wiley Online Library
Since the mid 1980s, an extensive emprical literature has examined the relationship
between US Fiscal deficits, exchange rates, and trade balances. We investigate two …
between US Fiscal deficits, exchange rates, and trade balances. We investigate two …
What macroeconomists should know about unit roots: a Bayesian perspective
H Uhlig - Econometric Theory, 1994 - cambridge.org
This paper summarizes recent Bayesian research on unit roots for the applied
macroeconomist in the way Campbell and Perron [8] summarized the classical unit roots …
macroeconomist in the way Campbell and Perron [8] summarized the classical unit roots …
US inflation and the dollar exchange rate: A vector error correction model
KH Kim - Applied Economics, 1998 - Taylor & Francis
Many studies investigating the relation between inflation and exchange rates have found
that exchange rates influenced inflation, while other studies have failed to do so or reported …
that exchange rates influenced inflation, while other studies have failed to do so or reported …
On the shape of the likelihood/posterior in cointegration models
F Kleibergen, HK Van Dijk - Econometric theory, 1994 - cambridge.org
A vector autoregressive (VAR) model is specified with equation system parameters, which
directly reflect the possible cointegrating nature of the analyzed time series. By using a …
directly reflect the possible cointegrating nature of the analyzed time series. By using a …