Unit roots, structural breaks and trends

JH Stock - Handbook of econometrics, 1994 - Elsevier
This chapter reviews inference about large autoregressive or moving average roots in
univariate time series, and structural change in multivariate time series regression. The …

Statistical Significance, p-Values, and the Reporting of Uncertainty

GW Imbens - Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2021 - aeaweb.org
The use of statistical significance and p-values has become a matter of substantial
controversy in various fields using statistical methods. This has gone as far as some journals …

Hysteresis and business cycles

V Cerra, A Fatás, SC Saxena - Journal of Economic Literature, 2023 - aeaweb.org
Traditionally, economic growth and business cycles have been treated independently.
However, the dependence of GDP levels on its history of shocks, what economists refer to as …

Stochastic volatility: likelihood inference and comparison with ARCH models

S Kim, N Shephard, S Chib - The review of economic studies, 1998 - academic.oup.com
In this paper, Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling methods are exploited to provide a
unified, practical likelihood-based framework for the analysis of stochastic volatility models …

What are the effects of monetary policy on output? Results from an agnostic identification procedure

H Uhlig - Journal of Monetary Economics, 2005 - Elsevier
This paper proposes to estimate the effects of monetary policy shocks by a new agnostic
method, imposing sign restrictions on the impulse responses of prices, nonborrowed …

Land‐price dynamics and macroeconomic fluctuations

Z Liu, P Wang, T Zha - Econometrica, 2013 - Wiley Online Library
We argue that positive co‐movements between land prices and business investment are a
driving force behind the broad impact of land‐price dynamics on the macroeconomy. We …

Foreign speculators and emerging equity markets

G Bekaert, CR Harvey - The journal of finance, 2000 - Wiley Online Library
We propose a cross‐sectional time‐series model to assess the impact of market
liberalizations in emerging equity markets on the cost of capital, volatility, beta, and …

[HTML][HTML] Predictive regressions

RF Stambaugh - Journal of financial economics, 1999 - Elsevier
When a rate of return is regressed on a lagged stochastic regressor, such as a dividend
yield, the regression disturbance is correlated with the regressor's innovation. The OLS …

[PDF][PDF] Bayesian econometrics

D Book, AR Hassan - 2021 - besmarter-team.org
In this course we perform an introduction to Bayesian methods, we show some basic
definitions and properties of the bayesian approach. We have taken the content from the …

Exchange rate anomalies in the industrial countries: A solution with a structural VAR approach

S Kim, N Roubini - Journal of Monetary economics, 2000 - Elsevier
Past empirical research on the effects of monetary policy in closed and open economies
found evidence of several anomalies, such as the 'liquidity','price','exchange rate'and …