Value at risk estimation using the GARCH-EVT approach with optimal tail selection

K Echaust, M Just - Mathematics, 2020 - mdpi.com
A conditional Extreme Value Theory (GARCH-EVT) approach is a two-stage hybrid method
that combines a Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) filter …

Forecasting value-at-risk of financial markets under the global pandemic of COVID-19 using conditional extreme value theory

C Omar, S Mundia, I Ngina - 2020 - repository.dkut.ac.ke
The recent global pandemic of coronavirus (COVID-19) has had an enormous impact on the
financial markets across the world. It has created an unprecedented level of risk uncertainty …

Estimating conditional value at risk in the Tehran stock exchange based on the extreme value theory using GARCH models

H Tabasi, V Yousefi, J Tamošaitienė… - Administrative Sciences, 2019 - mdpi.com
This paper attempted to calculate the market risk in the Tehran Stock Exchange by
estimating the Conditional Value at Risk. Since the Conditional Value at Risk is a tail-related …

Modelling extreme risk of the South African Financial Index (J580) using the generalised Pareto distribution

O Jakata, D Chikobvu - Journal of Economic and Financial Sciences, 2019 - journals.co.za
Orientation: Research purpose: The main aim of the study was to apply extreme value theory
results to quantify the extreme downside risk and upside risk of the South African Financial …

Adjusted extreme conditional quantile autoregression with application to risk measurement

MM Kithinji, PN Mwita, AO Kube - Journal of Probability and …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
In this paper, we propose an extreme conditional quantile estimator. Derivation of the
estimator is based on extreme quantile autoregression. A noncrossing restriction is added …

Backtesting the evaluation of Value-at-Risk methods for exchange rates

T Mrkvička, M Krásnická, L Friebel, T Volek… - Studies in Economics …, 2022 - emerald.com
Backtesting the evaluation of Value-at-Risk methods for exchange rates | Emerald Insight Books
and journals Case studies Expert Briefings Open Access Publish with us Advanced search …

Competition and Innovation: The Rise of Startups and Its Effects Towards the Philippines Economy

SP Akehira, E Alcantara… - Journal of Economics …, 2022 - al-kindipublisher.com
The Philippines has a growing startup scene in Southeast Asia and is currently the prime
target of many investors like Tencent Holdings, Voyager's Innovation, and more. Despite this …

An optimal tail selection in risk measurement

M Just, K Echaust - Risks, 2021 - mdpi.com
The appropriate choice of a threshold level, which separates the tails of the probability
distribution of a random variable from its middle part, is considered to be a very complex and …

Extreme value modelling of the monthly south african industrial index (J520) returns

O Jakata, D Chikobvu - Statistics, Optimization & Information Computing, 2022 - iapress.org
Abstract This study uses Extreme Value Theory (EVT), Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected
Shortfall (ES) analysis as a unified tool for managing extreme financial risk. The study …

Measuring black swans in financial markets

J Manhire - 2018 - papers.ssrn.com
There exists a well-developed statistical theory predicting extreme price values for financial
markets known as extreme value theory (EVT). This approach relies on the seemingly …