Expert judgement and uncertainty quantification for climate change
Expert judgement is an unavoidable element of the process-based numerical models used
for climate change projections, and the statistical approaches used to characterize …
for climate change projections, and the statistical approaches used to characterize …
Making climate projections conditional on historical observations
A Ribes, S Qasmi, NP Gillett - Science Advances, 2021 - science.org
Many studies have sought to constrain climate projections based on recent observations.
Until recently, these constraints had limited impact, and projected warming ranges were …
Until recently, these constraints had limited impact, and projected warming ranges were …
Considering discrepancy when calibrating a mechanistic electrophysiology model
Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is a vital step in using mathematical models and simulations
to take decisions. The field of cardiac simulation has begun to explore and adopt UQ …
to take decisions. The field of cardiac simulation has begun to explore and adopt UQ …
[HTML][HTML] A representative democracy to reduce interdependency in a multimodel ensemble
BM Sanderson, R Knutti, P Caldwell - Journal of Climate, 2015 - journals.ametsoc.org
A Representative Democracy to Reduce Interdependency in a Multimodel Ensemble in:
Journal of Climate Volume 28 Issue 13 (2015) Jump to Content Jump to Main Navigation …
Journal of Climate Volume 28 Issue 13 (2015) Jump to Content Jump to Main Navigation …
[HTML][HTML] Attribution of extreme events in Arctic sea ice extent
MC Kirchmeier-Young, FW Zwiers… - Journal of Climate, 2017 - journals.ametsoc.org
Attribution of Extreme Events in Arctic Sea Ice Extent in: Journal of Climate Volume 30 Issue
2 (2017) Jump to Content Jump to Main Navigation Logo Logo Logo Logo Logo Logo …
2 (2017) Jump to Content Jump to Main Navigation Logo Logo Logo Logo Logo Logo …
Catalogue of abrupt shifts in Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change climate models
Abrupt transitions of regional climate in response to the gradual rise in atmospheric
greenhouse gas concentrations are notoriously difficult to foresee. However, such events …
greenhouse gas concentrations are notoriously difficult to foresee. However, such events …
History matching for exploring and reducing climate model parameter space using observations and a large perturbed physics ensemble
We apply an established statistical methodology called history matching to constrain the
parameter space of a coupled non-flux-adjusted climate model (the third Hadley Centre …
parameter space of a coupled non-flux-adjusted climate model (the third Hadley Centre …
[HTML][HTML] Addressing interdependency in a multimodel ensemble by interpolation of model properties
BM Sanderson, R Knutti, P Caldwell - Journal of Climate, 2015 - journals.ametsoc.org
Addressing Interdependency in a Multimodel Ensemble by Interpolation of Model Properties
in: Journal of Climate Volume 28 Issue 13 (2015) Jump to Content Jump to Main Navigation …
in: Journal of Climate Volume 28 Issue 13 (2015) Jump to Content Jump to Main Navigation …
Challenges in estimation, uncertainty quantification and elicitation for pandemic modelling
The estimation of parameters and model structure for informing infectious disease response
has become a focal point of the recent pandemic. However, it has also highlighted a …
has become a focal point of the recent pandemic. However, it has also highlighted a …
[HTML][HTML] Comparing methods to constrain future European climate projections using a consistent framework
Political decisions, adaptation planning, and impact assessments need reliable estimates of
future climate change and related uncertainties. To provide these estimates, different …
future climate change and related uncertainties. To provide these estimates, different …