Theory and practice of GVAR modelling
A Chudik, MH Pesaran - Journal of Economic Surveys, 2016 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract The Global Vector Autoregressive (GVAR) approach has proven to be a very useful
approach to analyse interactions in the global macroeconomy and other data networks …
approach to analyse interactions in the global macroeconomy and other data networks …
Dynamic factor models, factor-augmented vector autoregressions, and structural vector autoregressions in macroeconomics
JH Stock, MW Watson - Handbook of macroeconomics, 2016 - Elsevier
This chapter provides an overview of and user's guide to dynamic factor models (DFMs),
their estimation, and their uses in empirical macroeconomics. It also surveys recent …
their estimation, and their uses in empirical macroeconomics. It also surveys recent …
Narrative sign restrictions for SVARs
J Antolín-Díaz, JF Rubio-Ramírez - American Economic Review, 2018 - aeaweb.org
We identify structural vector autoregressions using narrative sign restrictions. Narrative sign
restrictions constrain the structural shocks and/or the historical decomposition around key …
restrictions constrain the structural shocks and/or the historical decomposition around key …
Inference based on structural vector autoregressions identified with sign and zero restrictions: Theory and applications
In this paper, we develop algorithms to independently draw from a family of conjugate
posterior distributions over the structural parameterization when sign and zero restrictions …
posterior distributions over the structural parameterization when sign and zero restrictions …
The impact of oil-market shocks on stock returns in major oil-exporting countries
The impact that oil-market shocks have on stock prices in oil exporting countries has
implications for both domestic and international investors. We derive the shocks driving oil …
implications for both domestic and international investors. We derive the shocks driving oil …
The role of inventories and speculative trading in the global market for crude oil
We develop a structural model of the global market for crude oil that for the first time explicitly
allows for shocks to the speculative demand for oil as well as shocks to flow demand and …
allows for shocks to the speculative demand for oil as well as shocks to flow demand and …
The role of speculation in oil markets: What have we learned so far?
A popular view is that the surge in the real price of oil during 2003-08 cannot be explained
by economic fundamentals, but was caused by the increased financialization of oil futures …
by economic fundamentals, but was caused by the increased financialization of oil futures …
Structural vector autoregressions
L Kilian - Handbook of research methods and applications in …, 2013 - elgaronline.com
Notwithstanding the increased use of estimated dynamic stochastic general equilibrium
(DSGE) models over the last decade, structural vector autoregressive (VAR) models …
(DSGE) models over the last decade, structural vector autoregressive (VAR) models …
State-dependent effects of fiscal policy
We investigate the effects of government spending on US output with a threshold structural
vector autoregressive model. We consider Bayesian model comparison and generalized …
vector autoregressive model. We consider Bayesian model comparison and generalized …
The systematic component of monetary policy in SVARs: An agnostic identification procedure
This paper studies the effects of monetary policy shocks using structural VARs. We achieve
identification by imposing sign and zero restrictions on the systematic component of …
identification by imposing sign and zero restrictions on the systematic component of …