Event prediction in the big data era: A systematic survey

L Zhao - ACM Computing Surveys (CSUR), 2021 - dl.acm.org
Events are occurrences in specific locations, time, and semantics that nontrivially impact
either our society or the nature, such as earthquakes, civil unrest, system failures …

Machine learning in solar physics

A Asensio Ramos, MCM Cheung, I Chifu… - Living Reviews in Solar …, 2023 - Springer
The application of machine learning in solar physics has the potential to greatly enhance our
understanding of the complex processes that take place in the atmosphere of the Sun. By …

Deep learning based solar flare forecasting model. I. Results for line-of-sight magnetograms

X Huang, H Wang, L Xu, J Liu, R Li… - The Astrophysical …, 2018 - iopscience.iop.org
Solar flares originate from the release of the energy stored in the magnetic field of solar
active regions, the triggering mechanism for these flares, however, remains unknown. For …

Multivariate time series dataset for space weather data analytics

RA Angryk, PC Martens, B Aydin, D Kempton… - Scientific data, 2020 - nature.com
We introduce and make openly accessible a comprehensive, multivariate time series
(MVTS) dataset extracted from solar photospheric vector magnetograms in Spaceweather …

Deep flare net (DeFN) model for solar flare prediction

N Nishizuka, K Sugiura, Y Kubo, M Den… - The Astrophysical …, 2018 - iopscience.iop.org
We developed a solar flare prediction model using a deep neural network (DNN) named
Deep Flare Net (DeFN). This model can calculate the probability of flares occurring in the …

Predicting solar flares using a long short-term memory network

H Liu, C Liu, JTL Wang, H Wang - The Astrophysical Journal, 2019 - iopscience.iop.org
We present a long short-term memory (LSTM) network for predicting whether an active
region (AR) would produce a ϒ-class flare within the next 24 hr. We consider three ϒ …

Stable reliability diagrams for probabilistic classifiers

T Dimitriadis, T Gneiting… - Proceedings of the …, 2021 - National Acad Sciences
A probability forecast or probabilistic classifier is reliable or calibrated if the predicted
probabilities are matched by ex post observed frequencies, as examined visually in …

A physics-based method that can predict imminent large solar flares

K Kusano, T Iju, Y Bamba, S Inoue - Science, 2020 - science.org
Solar flares are highly energetic events in the Sun's corona that affect Earth's space weather.
The mechanism that drives the onset of solar flares is unknown, hampering efforts to forecast …

Solar flare prediction model with three machine-learning algorithms using ultraviolet brightening and vector magnetograms

N Nishizuka, K Sugiura, Y Kubo, M Den… - The Astrophysical …, 2017 - iopscience.iop.org
We developed a flare prediction model using machine learning, which is optimized to predict
the maximum class of flares occurring in the following 24 hr. Machine learning is used to …

The origin, early evolution and predictability of solar eruptions

LM Green, T Török, B Vršnak, W Manchester… - Space Science …, 2018 - Springer
Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were discovered in the early 1970s when space-borne
coronagraphs revealed that eruptions of plasma are ejected from the Sun. Today, it is known …