[HTML][HTML] Forecasting container freight rates using the Prophet forecasting method
This study applies three innovative methods in forecasting container freight rates. Firstly, we
extracted 471 major disruptive events from the 'Lloyds List'database from 2010 until 2020 …
extracted 471 major disruptive events from the 'Lloyds List'database from 2010 until 2020 …
Quantitative modelling of shipping freight rates: developments in the past 20 years
Understanding the determination mechanism and dynamics of shipping freight rates has
significant implications for practitioners, economists, and regulators of maritime transport …
significant implications for practitioners, economists, and regulators of maritime transport …
Forecasting container shipping freight rates for the Far East–Northern Europe trade lane
ZH Munim, HJ Schramm - Maritime Economics & Logistics, 2017 - Springer
This study introduces a state-of-the-art volatility forecasting method for container shipping
freight rates. Over the last decade, the container shipping industry has become very …
freight rates. Over the last decade, the container shipping industry has become very …
Determinants of dry bulk shipping freight rates: Considering Chinese manufacturing industry and economic policy uncertainty
B Gu, J Liu - Transport Policy, 2022 - Elsevier
The past decades have witnessed the rapid development of China's manufacturing industry,
which has established China's status as a manufacturing and trading power. Along with the …
which has established China's status as a manufacturing and trading power. Along with the …
Time series forecasting methods for the Baltic dry index
C Katris, MG Kavussanos - Journal of Forecasting, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
This paper forecasts the daily Baltic Dry Index (BDI) using time series and machine learning
methods. Significant business cycles and freight rate volatility present in the ocean‐going …
methods. Significant business cycles and freight rate volatility present in the ocean‐going …
Artificial neural networks in freight rate forecasting
Z Yang, EE Mehmed - Maritime Economics & Logistics, 2019 - Springer
Reliable freight rate forecasts are essential to stimulate ocean transportation and ensure
stakeholder benefits in a highly volatile shipping market. However, compared to traditional …
stakeholder benefits in a highly volatile shipping market. However, compared to traditional …
A new approach for Baltic Dry Index forecasting based on empirical mode decomposition and neural networks
Q Zeng, C Qu, AKY Ng, X Zhao - Maritime Economics & Logistics, 2016 - Springer
In this article, a method based on empirical mode decomposition (EMD) and artificial neural
networks (ANN) is developed for Baltic Dry Index (BDI) forecasting. The original BDI series is …
networks (ANN) is developed for Baltic Dry Index (BDI) forecasting. The original BDI series is …
[HTML][HTML] Container freight rate forecasting with improved accuracy by integrating soft facts from practitioners
HJ Schramm, ZH Munim - Research in Transportation Business & …, 2021 - Elsevier
This study presents a novel approach to forecast freight rates in container shipping by
integrating soft facts in the form of measures originating from surveys among practitioners …
integrating soft facts in the form of measures originating from surveys among practitioners …
Comparison of econometric models and artificial neural networks algorithms for the prediction of baltic dry index
X Zhang, T Xue, HE Stanley - IEEE Access, 2018 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
The shipping market, a major component of the global economy, is characterized by high
risk and volatility. The Baltic dry index is an influential indicator in the world shipping market …
risk and volatility. The Baltic dry index is an influential indicator in the world shipping market …
A novel hybrid approach to Baltic Dry Index forecasting based on a combined dynamic fluctuation network and artificial intelligence method
Enhancing the accuracy of freight rate forecasting is crucial when agents in the shipping
industry make their business decisions and strive to avoid or reduce possible risks. Although …
industry make their business decisions and strive to avoid or reduce possible risks. Although …