Learning in financial markets

L Pastor, P Veronesi - Annu. Rev. Financ. Econ., 2009 - annualreviews.org
We survey the recent literature on learning in financial markets. Our main theme is that many
financial market phenomena that appear puzzling at first sight are easier to understand once …

Financial bubble implosion and reverse regression

PCB Phillips, SP Shi - Econometric Theory, 2018 - cambridge.org
Expansion and collapse are two key features of a financial asset bubble. Bubble expansion
may be modeled using a mildly explosive process. Bubble implosion may take several …

The Chinese warrants bubble: Evidence from brokerage account records

ND Pearson, Z Yang, Q Zhang - The Review of Financial Studies, 2021 - academic.oup.com
We use brokerage account records to study trading during the Chinese put warrants bubble
and find evidence consistent with extrapolative theories of speculative asset price bubbles …

Are there periodically collapsing bubbles in the stock markets? New international evidence

SW Chen, CS Hsu, Z Xie - Economic Modelling, 2016 - Elsevier
A stock price may face a bubble problem for a number of periods, but in the long run the
stock price is determined by its market fundamentals. This paper takes this possibility into …

Identification of multiple stock bubbles in an emerging market: application of GSADF approach

A Liaqat, MS Nazir, I Ahmad - Economic Change and Restructuring, 2019 - Springer
This paper aims at to investigate the existence of multiple bubbles and specific
corresponding events in Pakistan Stock Exchange across different industrial sectors using …

[HTML][HTML] Speculative bubbles in present-value models: A Bayesian Markov-switching state space approach

JCC Chan, C Santi - Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2021 - Elsevier
We estimate the dynamics of a speculative bubble subject to a surviving and a collapsing
regime together with the dynamics of dividends and returns in a tractable state space …

Measuring gambling activity in options market

B Chen, Q Gan - Review of Behavioral Finance, 2022 - emerald.com
Purpose This paper investigates how the gambling measure captures market bubble events,
and how it predicts stock return and option return. Design/methodology/approach This paper …

[PDF][PDF] Belief distributions, Bayes rule and Bayesian overconfidence

GW Harrison, JT Swarthout - 2020 - cear.gsu.edu
The behavioral validity of Bayes' Rule is a fundamental building block in behavioral finance,
and many recent models in traditional finance stress the importance of modeling posterior …

Modeling speculative bubbles with diverse investor expectations

PCB Phillips - Research in Economics, 2016 - Elsevier
We construct a model of asset market exuberance, collapse and recovery using subjective
investor-based rational expectations about the impact of fundamentals on the market price …

[PDF][PDF] Evidence about bubble mechanisms: Precipitating event, feedback trading, and social contagion

ND Pearson, Z Yang, Q Zhang - Work. Pap., Univ. Illinois, Urbana …, 2017 - chapman.edu
We use brokerage account records to study trading during the Chinese put warrants bubble
and explore whether it is consistent with bubble theories. We identify the event that started …