[HTML][HTML] Anticipatory action to manage climate risks: Lessons from the Red Cross Red Crescent in Southern Africa, Bangladesh, and beyond

AT de la Poterie, E Castro Jr, H Rahaman… - Climate Risk …, 2023 - Elsevier
Anticipatory action (AA) is a growing area of climate and disaster risk management that
emphasizes the use of climate services and risk analyses to predict where crises might strike …

Recommendations to improve the interpretation of global flood forecasts to support international humanitarian operations for tropical cyclones

L Speight, E Stephens, L Hawker… - Journal of Flood Risk …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
International humanitarian organisations increasingly turn to forecast teams to support the
coordination of efforts to respond to disasters caused by hazards such as tropical cyclones …

Average domination: A new multi-objective value metric applied to assess the benefits of forecasts in reservoir operations under different flood design levels

JD Quinn, PM Reed, M Giuliani, A Castelletti - Advances in Water …, 2024 - Elsevier
Worldwide, reservoirs are used to buffer against both extreme floods and extreme droughts.
However, operations favoring each of these and other management objectives conflict …

Evaluating prospects for subseasonal-to-seasonal forecast-based anticipatory action from a global perspective

J Lala, D Lee, J Bazo, P Block - Weather and Climate Extremes, 2022 - Elsevier
Globally, the direct cost of natural disasters stands in the hundreds of billions of USD per
year, at a time when water resources are under increasing stress and variability. Much of this …

Impact-based flood early warning for rural livelihoods in Uganda

F Mitheu, E Stephens, C Petty, A Ficchì… - … climate, and society, 2023 - journals.ametsoc.org
Anticipatory actions are increasingly being taken before an extreme flood event to reduce
the impacts on lives and livelihoods. Local contextualized information is required to support …

[HTML][HTML] Flexible forecast value metric suitable for a wide range of decisions: application using probabilistic subseasonal streamflow forecasts

R Laugesen, M Thyer, D McInerney… - Hydrology and Earth …, 2023 - hess.copernicus.org
Streamflow forecasts have the potential to improve water resource decision-making, but their
economic value has not been widely evaluated, since current forecast value methods have …

Extreme Precipitation Events on the East Coast of Brazil's Northeast: Numerical and Diagnostic Analysis

SB Costa, DL Herdies, DO Souza - Water, 2022 - mdpi.com
The Northeast of Brazil (NEB) is the region with the highest number of municipal decrees of
emergency situation declaration caused by weather events in the period from 2013 to 2022 …

Application of selected FFA methods in extreme flood prediction of River Osse

ES Okonofua, E Atikpo, KH Lasisi, OS Oladosu… - Modeling Earth Systems …, 2022 - Springer
Floods are far-flung natural disasters with significant socio-economic impacts and this
demand appropriate management strategies and predictions. Flood prediction could be an …

When does Forecast-based Insurance benefit? An Economic Analysis of Drought Risk Anticipatory Insurance

V Anand, L Poole, A Godziff, B Bekele… - … Economic Analysis of …, 2024 - papers.ssrn.com
Improvements in forecasting technologies provide an opportunity to take anticipatory actions
before disasters occur. However, traditional ex-post financing and lack of operational …

[PDF][PDF] d. Extreme Precipitation Events on the East Coast of Brazil's Northeast: Numerical and Diagnostic Analysis. Water 2022, 14, 3135

SB Costa, DL Herdies, DO Souza - 2022 - researchgate.net
The Northeast of Brazil (NEB) is the region with the highest number of municipal decrees of
emergency situation declaration caused by weather events in the period from 2013 to 2022 …