A review of solar forecasting, its dependence on atmospheric sciences and implications for grid integration: Towards carbon neutrality

D Yang, W Wang, CA Gueymard, T Hong… - … and Sustainable Energy …, 2022 - Elsevier
The ability to forecast solar irradiance plays an indispensable role in solar power
forecasting, which constitutes an essential step in planning and operating power systems …

[HTML][HTML] Benefits of physical and machine learning hybridization for photovoltaic power forecasting

MJ Mayer - Renewable and sustainable energy reviews, 2022 - Elsevier
Irradiance-to-power conversion is an essential step of state-of-the-art photovoltaic (PV)
power forecasting, regardless of the source and post-processing of irradiance forecasts. The …

A short-term wind power prediction model based on CEEMD and WOA-KELM

Y Ding, Z Chen, H Zhang, X Wang, Y Guo - Renewable Energy, 2022 - Elsevier
Effective short-term wind power prediction is crucial to the optimal dispatching, system
stability, and operation cost control of a power system. In order to deal with the intermittent …

[HTML][HTML] Probabilistic solar forecasting: Benchmarks, post-processing, verification

T Gneiting, S Lerch, B Schulz - Solar Energy, 2023 - Elsevier
Probabilistic solar forecasts may take the form of predictive probability distributions,
ensembles, quantiles, or interval forecasts. State-of-the-art approaches build on input from …

[HTML][HTML] Comparing global and regional downscaled NWP models for irradiance and photovoltaic power forecasting: ECMWF versus AROME

MJ Mayer, D Yang, B Szintai - Applied Energy, 2023 - Elsevier
Inspecting the literature, much effort has been placed on the verification of irradiance
forecasts from numerical weather prediction (NWP) models, as such forecasts are thought to …

A historical weather forecast dataset from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) for energy forecasting

D Yang, W Wang, T Hong - Solar Energy, 2022 - Elsevier
Weather is often found to be a key driving factor for power generation and energy
consumption. To capture the effects of weather, many energy forecasting practices, such as …

An archived dataset from the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System for probabilistic solar power forecasting

W Wang, D Yang, T Hong, J Kleissl - Solar Energy, 2022 - Elsevier
Ensemble numerical weather prediction (NWP) is the backbone of the state-of-the-art solar
forecasting for horizons ranging between a few hours and a few days. Dynamical ensemble …

[HTML][HTML] Probabilistic photovoltaic power forecasting using a calibrated ensemble of model chains

MJ Mayer, D Yang - Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 2022 - Elsevier
Physical model chain is a step-by-step modeling framework for the conversion of irradiance
to photovoltaic (PV) power. When a model chain is fed with irradiance forecasts, it provides …

Weighted fully-connected regression networks for one-day-ahead hourly photovoltaic power forecasting

L Yin, X Cao, D Liu - Applied Energy, 2023 - Elsevier
Accurate photovoltaic power forecasting can provide a basis for low-carbon economic
dispatch of power systems with a high proportion of renewable energy. Regression networks …

A comprehensive review on ensemble solar power forecasting algorithms

N Rahimi, S Park, W Choi, B Oh, S Kim, Y Cho… - Journal of Electrical …, 2023 - Springer
With increasing demand for energy, the penetration of alternative sources such as
renewable energy in power grids has increased. Solar energy is one of the most common …