Mechanistic forecasts of species responses to climate change: the promise of biophysical ecology

NJ Briscoe, SD Morris, PD Mathewson… - Global Change …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
A core challenge in global change biology is to predict how species will respond to future
environmental change and to manage these responses. To make such predictions and …

Outstanding challenges in the transferability of ecological models

KL Yates, PJ Bouchet, MJ Caley, K Mengersen… - Trends in ecology & …, 2018 - cell.com
Predictive models are central to many scientific disciplines and vital for informing
management in a rapidly changing world. However, limited understanding of the accuracy …

Want to model a species niche? A step-by-step guideline on correlative ecological niche modelling

N Sillero, S Arenas-Castro, U Enriquez‐Urzelai… - Ecological …, 2021 - Elsevier
The use of correlative ecological niche models has highly increased in the last decade.
Despite all literature and textbooks in this field, few practical guidelines exist on the correct …

Major restructuring of marine plankton assemblages under global warming

F Benedetti, M Vogt, UH Elizondo, D Righetti… - Nature …, 2021 - nature.com
Marine phytoplankton and zooplankton form the basis of the ocean's food-web, yet the
impacts of climate change on their biodiversity are poorly understood. Here, we use an …

[图书][B] Joint species distribution modelling: With applications in R

O Ovaskainen, N Abrego - 2020 - books.google.com
Joint species distribution modelling (JSDM) is a fast-developing field and promises to
revolutionise how data on ecological communities are analysed and interpreted. Written for …

[图书][B] Habitat suitability and distribution models: with applications in R

A Guisan, W Thuiller, NE Zimmermann - 2017 - books.google.com
This book introduces the key stages of niche-based habitat suitability model building,
evaluation and prediction required for understanding and predicting future patterns of …

A comprehensive evaluation of predictive performance of 33 species distribution models at species and community levels

A Norberg, N Abrego, FG Blanchet… - Ecological …, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
A large array of species distribution model (SDM) approaches has been developed for
explaining and predicting the occurrences of individual species or species assemblages …

Paintings predict the distribution of species, or the challenge of selecting environmental predictors and evaluation statistics

Y Fourcade, AG Besnard… - Global Ecology and …, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
Aim Species distribution modelling, a family of statistical methods that predicts species
distributions from a set of occurrences and environmental predictors, is now routinely …

Evolutionary genomics can improve prediction of species' responses to climate change

AM Waldvogel, B Feldmeyer, G Rolshausen… - Evolution …, 2020 - academic.oup.com
Global climate change (GCC) increasingly threatens biodiversity through the loss of species,
and the transformation of entire ecosystems. Many species are challenged by the pace of …

ENMeval: An R package for conducting spatially independent evaluations and estimating optimal model complexity for Maxent ecological niche models

R Muscarella, PJ Galante… - Methods in ecology …, 2014 - Wiley Online Library
Recent studies have demonstrated a need for increased rigour in building and evaluating
ecological niche models (ENM s) based on presence‐only occurrence data. Two major …