Parameter estimation of the generalized Pareto distribution—Part I

P de Zea Bermudez, S Kotz - Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 2010 - Elsevier
The generalized Pareto distribution (GPD) has been widely used in the extreme value
framework. The success of the GPD when applied to real data sets depends substantially on …

Quantitative risk and optimal design approaches in the snow avalanche field: Review and extensions

N Eckert, CJ Keylock, D Bertrand, E Parent… - Cold Regions Science …, 2012 - Elsevier
Standard engineering procedures, such as adopting high return periods as reference
events, are a simplified means of handling the complex and multivariate nature of snow …

[HTML][HTML] Can big data and random forests improve avalanche runout estimation compared to simple linear regression?

HB Toft, K Müller, J Hendrikx, C Jaedicke… - Cold Regions Science …, 2023 - Elsevier
Accurate prediction of snow avalanche runout-distances in a deterministic sense remains a
challenge due to the complexity of all the physical properties involved. Therefore, in many …

The MultiRISK platform: The technical concept and application of a regional-scale multihazard exposure analysis tool

MS Kappes, K Gruber, S Frigerio, R Bell, M Keiler… - Geomorphology, 2012 - Elsevier
Many regions worldwide are threatened by multiple natural hazards with the potential to
cause high damages and losses. However, the modeling of multiple hazards in a joint …

Are there “dragon-kings” events (ie genuine outliers) among extreme avalanches?

C Ancey - The European Physical Journal Special Topics, 2012 - Springer
Predicting the occurrence and spatial extent of extreme avalanches is a longstanding issue.
Using field data pooled from various sites within the same mountain range, authors showed …

Long-term avalanche hazard assessment with a Bayesian depth-averaged propagation model

N Eckert, M Naaim, E Parent - Journal of Glaciology, 2010 - cambridge.org
While performing statistical–dynamical simulations for avalanche predetermination, a
propagation model must reach a compromise between precise description of the avalanche …

[HTML][HTML] Extreme avalanche cycles: Return levels and probability distributions depending on snow and meteorological conditions

G Evin, PD Sielenou, N Eckert, P Naveau… - Weather and Climate …, 2021 - Elsevier
Remarkable episodes of avalanche events, so-called snow avalanche cycles, are recurring
threats to people and infrastructures in mountainous areas. This study focuses on the hazard …

Bayesian stochastic modelling for avalanche predetermination: from a general system framework to return period computations

N Eckert, E Parent, M Naaim, D Richard - … Environmental Research and …, 2008 - Springer
Stochastic models are recent but unavoidable tools for snow avalanche hazard mapping
that can be described in a general system framework. For the computation of design return …

[图书][B] Dynamique des avalanches

C Ancey - 2006 - books.google.com
Cet ouvrage est le premier en langue française exclusivement consacré à l'étude
quantitative des avalanches de neige. Leur phénoménologie ainsi que les bases de calcul …

Validation of extreme snow avalanches and related return periods derived from a statistical-dynamical model using tree-ring techniques

R Schläppy, N Eckert, V Jomelli, M Stoffel… - Cold Regions Science …, 2014 - Elsevier
Abstract Specification of expected runout distances and related return periods are the first
and most important steps for zoning in snow avalanche prone terrain. In the past, runout …