Convection‐permitting models (CPMs) have provided weather forecasting centres with a
step‐change in capabilities for forecasting rainfall. They are now used operationally to …

Floods are the most frequent of natural disasters, affecting millions of people across the
globe every year. The anticipation and forecasting of floods at the global scale is crucial to …

In the atmosphere, microphysics refers to the microscale processes that affect cloud and
precipitation particles and is a key linkage among the various components of Earth's …

Statistical post‐processing of dynamical forecast ensembles is an essential component of
weather forecasting. In this article, we present a post‐processing method which generates …

The process of model evaluation is not only an integral part of model development and
calibration but also of paramount importance when communicating modelling results to the …

Extreme flooding impacts millions of people that live within the Amazon floodplain. Global
hydrological models (GHMs) are frequently used to assess and inform the management of …

Cloud microphysics parametrizations control the transfer of water between phases and
hydrometeor species in numerical weather prediction and climate models. As a fundamental …

Recent years have witnessed considerable developments in multiple fields with the potential
to enhance our capability of forecasting pluvial flash floods, one of the most costly …

Volcanic eruptions can cause significant disruption to society, and numerical models are
crucial for forecasting the dispersion of erupted material. Here we assess the skill and …

Flash flood early warning requires accurate rainfall forecasts with a high spatial and
temporal resolution. As the first few hours ahead are already not sufficiently well captured by …