Forecast combinations: An over 50-year review

X Wang, RJ Hyndman, F Li, Y Kang - International Journal of Forecasting, 2023 - Elsevier
Forecast combinations have flourished remarkably in the forecasting community and, in
recent years, have become part of mainstream forecasting research and activities …

Probabilistic forecasting of electricity spot prices using Factor Quantile Regression Averaging

K Maciejowska, J Nowotarski, R Weron - International Journal of …, 2016 - Elsevier
We examine possible accuracy gains from using factor models, quantile regression and
forecast averaging to compute interval forecasts of electricity spot prices. We extend the …

Forecasting stock market volatility with a large number of predictors: New evidence from the MS-MIDAS-LASSO model

X Li, C Liang, F Ma - Annals of Operations Research, 2022 - Springer
This paper explores the effectiveness of predictors, including nine economic policy
uncertainty indicators, four market sentiment indicators and two financial stress indices, in …

Optimal combination of survey forecasts

C Conflitti, C De Mol, D Giannone - International Journal of Forecasting, 2015 - Elsevier
We consider the problem of combining individual forecasts of real gross domestic product
(GDP) growth and Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) inflation from the Survey of …

PCA forecast averaging—Predicting day-ahead and intraday electricity prices

K Maciejowska, B Uniejewski, T Serafin - Energies, 2020 - mdpi.com
Recently, the development in combining point forecasts of electricity prices obtained with
different length of calibration windows have provided an extremely efficient and simple tool …

[HTML][HTML] Lasso principal component averaging: A fully automated approach for point forecast pooling

B Uniejewski, K Maciejowska - International Journal of Forecasting, 2023 - Elsevier
This paper develops a novel, fully automated forecast averaging scheme which combines
LASSO estimation with principal component averaging (PCA). LASSO-PCA (LPCA) explores …

Epidemiological forecasting with model reduction of compartmental models. application to the COVID-19 pandemic

A Bakhta, T Boiveau, Y Maday, O Mula - Biology, 2020 - mdpi.com
Simple Summary Using tools from the reduced order modeling of parametric ODEs and
PDEs, including a new positivity-preserving greedy reduced basis method, we present a …

Enhancing portfolio management using artificial intelligence: literature review

K Sutiene, P Schwendner, C Sipos… - Frontiers in Artificial …, 2024 - frontiersin.org
Building an investment portfolio is a problem that numerous researchers have addressed for
many years. The key goal has always been to balance risk and reward by optimally …

Nowcasting Russian GDP using forecast combination approach

M Zhemkov - International Economics, 2021 - Elsevier
This paper presents a forecast combination approach for short-term assessment of
economic growth in Russia. Our method significantly expands the existing domestic …

Comparing various combined techniques at seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) for electrical load forecasting

M Silfiani, H Aprillia, Y Fitriani - 2023 International Seminar on …, 2023 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
The objective of this study is to investigate the accuracy of forecasting electrical consumption
using various combined techniques at the seasonal autoregressive integrated moving …