Forecast combinations: An over 50-year review
Forecast combinations have flourished remarkably in the forecasting community and, in
recent years, have become part of mainstream forecasting research and activities …
recent years, have become part of mainstream forecasting research and activities …
Probabilistic forecasting of electricity spot prices using Factor Quantile Regression Averaging
We examine possible accuracy gains from using factor models, quantile regression and
forecast averaging to compute interval forecasts of electricity spot prices. We extend the …
forecast averaging to compute interval forecasts of electricity spot prices. We extend the …
Forecasting stock market volatility with a large number of predictors: New evidence from the MS-MIDAS-LASSO model
X Li, C Liang, F Ma - Annals of Operations Research, 2022 - Springer
This paper explores the effectiveness of predictors, including nine economic policy
uncertainty indicators, four market sentiment indicators and two financial stress indices, in …
uncertainty indicators, four market sentiment indicators and two financial stress indices, in …
Optimal combination of survey forecasts
We consider the problem of combining individual forecasts of real gross domestic product
(GDP) growth and Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) inflation from the Survey of …
(GDP) growth and Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) inflation from the Survey of …
PCA forecast averaging—Predicting day-ahead and intraday electricity prices
Recently, the development in combining point forecasts of electricity prices obtained with
different length of calibration windows have provided an extremely efficient and simple tool …
different length of calibration windows have provided an extremely efficient and simple tool …
[HTML][HTML] Lasso principal component averaging: A fully automated approach for point forecast pooling
B Uniejewski, K Maciejowska - International Journal of Forecasting, 2023 - Elsevier
This paper develops a novel, fully automated forecast averaging scheme which combines
LASSO estimation with principal component averaging (PCA). LASSO-PCA (LPCA) explores …
LASSO estimation with principal component averaging (PCA). LASSO-PCA (LPCA) explores …
Epidemiological forecasting with model reduction of compartmental models. application to the COVID-19 pandemic
Simple Summary Using tools from the reduced order modeling of parametric ODEs and
PDEs, including a new positivity-preserving greedy reduced basis method, we present a …
PDEs, including a new positivity-preserving greedy reduced basis method, we present a …
Enhancing portfolio management using artificial intelligence: literature review
Building an investment portfolio is a problem that numerous researchers have addressed for
many years. The key goal has always been to balance risk and reward by optimally …
many years. The key goal has always been to balance risk and reward by optimally …
Nowcasting Russian GDP using forecast combination approach
M Zhemkov - International Economics, 2021 - Elsevier
This paper presents a forecast combination approach for short-term assessment of
economic growth in Russia. Our method significantly expands the existing domestic …
economic growth in Russia. Our method significantly expands the existing domestic …
Comparing various combined techniques at seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) for electrical load forecasting
The objective of this study is to investigate the accuracy of forecasting electrical consumption
using various combined techniques at the seasonal autoregressive integrated moving …
using various combined techniques at the seasonal autoregressive integrated moving …