[HTML][HTML] Forecasting: theory and practice
Forecasting has always been at the forefront of decision making and planning. The
uncertainty that surrounds the future is both exciting and challenging, with individuals and …
uncertainty that surrounds the future is both exciting and challenging, with individuals and …
[HTML][HTML] Forecast reconciliation: A review
Collections of time series formed via aggregation are prevalent in many fields. These are
commonly referred to as hierarchical time series and may be constructed cross-sectionally …
commonly referred to as hierarchical time series and may be constructed cross-sectionally …
On the selection of forecasting accuracy measures
A lot of controversy exists around the choice of the most appropriate error measure for
assessing the performance of forecasting methods. While statisticians argue for the use of …
assessing the performance of forecasting methods. While statisticians argue for the use of …
Visitor arrivals forecasts amid COVID-19: A perspective from the Africa team
COVID-19 disrupted international tourism worldwide, subsequently presenting forecasters
with a challenging conundrum. In this competition, we predict international arrivals for 20 …
with a challenging conundrum. In this competition, we predict international arrivals for 20 …
Understanding forecast reconciliation
R Hollyman, F Petropoulos, ME Tipping - European Journal of Operational …, 2021 - Elsevier
A series of recent papers introduce the concept of Forecast Reconciliation, a process by
which independently generated forecasts of a collection of linearly related time series are …
which independently generated forecasts of a collection of linearly related time series are …
Recent developments in multivariate wind and solar power forecasting
ML Sørensen, P Nystrup, MB Bjerregård… - Wiley …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
The intermittency of renewable energy sources, such as wind and solar, means that they
require reliable and accurate forecasts to integrate properly into energy systems. This review …
require reliable and accurate forecasts to integrate properly into energy systems. This review …
Demand forecasting in supply chains: a review of aggregation and hierarchical approaches
Demand forecasts are the basis of most decisions in supply chain management. The
granularity of these decisions lead to different forecast requirements. For example, inventory …
granularity of these decisions lead to different forecast requirements. For example, inventory …
Forecast reconciliation: A geometric view with new insights on bias correction
A Panagiotelis, G Athanasopoulos… - International Journal of …, 2021 - Elsevier
A geometric interpretation is developed for so-called reconciliation methodologies used to
forecast time series that adhere to known linear constraints. In particular, a general …
forecast time series that adhere to known linear constraints. In particular, a general …
A cross-temporal hierarchical framework and deep learning for supply chain forecasting
Organizations require short-term up to long-run aggregated forecasts for making strategic,
tactical, and operational decisions for their supply chain management. In supply chain …
tactical, and operational decisions for their supply chain management. In supply chain …
Tourism recovery amid COVID-19: The case of Lombardy, Italy
D Provenzano, S Volo - Tourism Economics, 2022 - journals.sagepub.com
Travel restrictions and social distancing imposed to curb the spread of the new coronavirus
have been strongly hitting tourism since March 2020. Tourism forecasting literature …
have been strongly hitting tourism since March 2020. Tourism forecasting literature …