Tdefsi: Theory-guided deep learning-based epidemic forecasting with synthetic information
Influenza-like illness (ILI) places a heavy social and economic burden on our society.
Traditionally, ILI surveillance data are updated weekly and provided at a spatially coarse …
Traditionally, ILI surveillance data are updated weekly and provided at a spatially coarse …
Optimized forecasting method for weekly influenza confirmed cases
MAA Al-Qaness, AA Ewees, H Fan… - International Journal of …, 2020 - mdpi.com
Influenza epidemic is a serious threat to the entire world, which causes thousands of death
every year and can be considered as a public health emergency that needs to be more …
every year and can be considered as a public health emergency that needs to be more …
Development and validation of influenza forecasting for 64 temperate and tropical countries
SC Kramer, J Shaman - PLoS Computational Biology, 2019 - journals.plos.org
Accurate forecasts of influenza incidence can be used to inform medical and public health
decision-making and response efforts. However, forecasting systems are uncommon in most …
decision-making and response efforts. However, forecasting systems are uncommon in most …
Predicting seasonal influenza outbreaks with regime shift-informed dynamics for improved public health preparedness
M Kim, Y Kim, K Nah - Scientific Reports, 2024 - nature.com
In this study, we propose a novel approach that integrates regime-shift detection with a
mechanistic model to forecast the peak times of seasonal influenza. The key benefit of this …
mechanistic model to forecast the peak times of seasonal influenza. The key benefit of this …
DiD IT?: a differences-in-differences investigation tool to quantify the impact of local incidents on public health using real-time syndromic surveillance health data
R Morbey, D Todkill, D DeAngelis, A Charlett… - Epidemiology & …, 2023 - cambridge.org
Syndromic surveillance was originally developed to provide early warning compared to
laboratory surveillance, but it is increasing used for real-time situational awareness. When a …
laboratory surveillance, but it is increasing used for real-time situational awareness. When a …
Combining Theory and Data-Driven Approaches for Epidemic Forecasts
This chapter covers the most recent trend on combining theory-based mechanistic methods
and data-driven methods for epidemic forecasting. It starts with a formal definition of an …
and data-driven methods for epidemic forecasting. It starts with a formal definition of an …
Accurate influenza forecasts using type-specific incidence data for small geographic units
J Turtle, P Riley, M Ben-Nun… - PLoS Computational …, 2021 - journals.plos.org
Influenza incidence forecasting is used to facilitate better health system planning and could
potentially be used to allow at-risk individuals to modify their behavior during a severe …
potentially be used to allow at-risk individuals to modify their behavior during a severe …
[图书][B] Forecasting influenza in Europe and globally: the role of absolute humidity and human travel, and the potential for use in public health decision making
SC Kramer - 2020 - search.proquest.com
Influenza causes substantial morbidity and mortality yearly in both temperate and tropical
regions, as well as sporadic and potentially severe pandemics. Although vaccines for …
regions, as well as sporadic and potentially severe pandemics. Although vaccines for …
[PDF][PDF] Study on Predicting Influenza Outbreaks
張捷 - (No Title), 2019 - repository.dl.itc.u-tokyo.ac.jp
Every year the worldwide influenza infection places a substantial burden on people's health.
Most past studies just focused on a” single-step” prediction of” regional” influenza outbreaks …
Most past studies just focused on a” single-step” prediction of” regional” influenza outbreaks …