[HTML][HTML] Insights from Earth system model initial-condition large ensembles and future prospects
Internal variability in the climate system confounds assessment of human-induced climate
change and imposes irreducible limits on the accuracy of climate change projections …
change and imposes irreducible limits on the accuracy of climate change projections …
Atmospheric blocking and weather extremes over the Euro-Atlantic sector–a review
The physical understanding and timely prediction of extreme weather events are of
enormous importance to society due to their associated impacts. In this article, we highlight …
enormous importance to society due to their associated impacts. In this article, we highlight …
The Arctic has warmed nearly four times faster than the globe since 1979
In recent decades, the warming in the Arctic has been much faster than in the rest of the
world, a phenomenon known as Arctic amplification. Numerous studies report that the Arctic …
world, a phenomenon known as Arctic amplification. Numerous studies report that the Arctic …
Future global climate: scenario-based projections and near-term information
This chapter assesses simulations of future global climate change, spanning time horizons
from the near term (2021–2040), mid-term (2041–2060), and long term (2081–2100) out to …
from the near term (2021–2040), mid-term (2041–2060), and long term (2081–2100) out to …
Precipitation trends determine future occurrences of compound hot–dry events
Compound hot–dry events—co-occurring hot and dry extremes—frequently cause damages
to human and natural systems, often exceeding separate impacts from heatwaves and …
to human and natural systems, often exceeding separate impacts from heatwaves and …
Systematic climate model biases in the large‐scale patterns of recent sea‐surface temperature and sea‐level pressure change
Observed surface temperature trends over recent decades are characterized by (a)
intensified warming in the Indo‐Pacific Warm Pool and slight cooling in the eastern …
intensified warming in the Indo‐Pacific Warm Pool and slight cooling in the eastern …
Understanding and managing connected extreme events
Extreme weather and climate events and their impacts can occur in complex combinations,
an interaction shaped by physical drivers and societal forces. In these situations …
an interaction shaped by physical drivers and societal forces. In these situations …
[HTML][HTML] Ubiquity of human-induced changes in climate variability
KB Rodgers, SS Lee, N Rosenbloom… - Earth System …, 2021 - esd.copernicus.org
While climate change mitigation targets necessarily concern maximum mean state changes,
understanding impacts and developing adaptation strategies will be largely contingent on …
understanding impacts and developing adaptation strategies will be largely contingent on …
Attribution of the Australian bushfire risk to anthropogenic climate change
GJ Van Oldenborgh, F Krikken, S Lewis… - … Hazards and Earth …, 2020 - nhess.copernicus.org
Disastrous bushfires during the last months of 2019 and January 2020 affected Australia,
raising the question to what extent the risk of these fires was exacerbated by anthropogenic …
raising the question to what extent the risk of these fires was exacerbated by anthropogenic …