The Paris Agreement long‐term global temperature goal refers to two global warming levels:
well below 2° C and 1.5° C above preindustrial. Regional climate signals at specific global …

The land ice contribution to global mean sea level rise has not yet been predicted 1 using
ice sheet and glacier models for the latest set of socio-economic scenarios, nor using …

Quantitative projections of future climate are in increasing demand from the scientific
community, policymakers and other stakeholders. Climate models of varying complexity are …

A model-by-model analysis for historical simulations was necessary for identifying
reasonably performing models in the updated Coupled Model Intercomparison Project …

Climate models have continued to be developed and improved since the AR4, and many
models have been extended into Earth System models by including the representation of …

Given the slow unfolding of what may become catastrophic changes to Earth's climate, many
are understandably distraught by failures of public policy to rise to the magnitude of the …

Multi-model ensembles of climate predictions constructed by running several global climate
models for a common set of experiments are available for impact assessment of climate …

Mathematical models, usually implemented in computer programs known as simulators, are
widely used in all areas of science and technology to represent complex real-world …

Ensembles of climate model simulations are required for input into probabilistic
assessments of the risk of future climate change in which uncertainties are quantified. Here …

We apply an established statistical methodology called history matching to constrain the
parameter space of a coupled non-flux-adjusted climate model (the third Hadley Centre …