Is a Global Recession Imminent?

JD Guénette, MA Kose, N Sugawara - Available at SSRN 4223901, 2022 - papers.ssrn.com
Global growth prospects have deteriorated significantly since the beginning of the year,
raising the specter of global recession. This paper relies on insights gleaned from previous …

Multidimensional poverty and inequality

R Aaberge, A Brandolini - Handbook of income distribution, 2015 - Elsevier
This chapter examines different approaches to the measurement of multidimensional
inequality and poverty. It first outlines three aspects preliminary to any multidimensional …

FiMod—A DSGE model for fiscal policy simulations

N Stähler, C Thomas - Economic modelling, 2012 - Elsevier
This paper develops a medium-scale dynamic, stochastic, general equilibrium (DSGE)
model for fiscal policy simulations. Relative to existing models of this type, our model …

The effect of tax enforcement on tax morale

A Filippin, CV Fiorio, E Viviano - European Journal of Political Economy, 2013 - Elsevier
In this paper we argue that tax enforcement is an additional contextual factor affecting tax
morale, one of the most important determinants of tax compliance. By using a unique dataset …

Short-term GDP forecasting with a mixed-frequency dynamic factor model with stochastic volatility

M Marcellino, M Porqueddu… - Journal of Business & …, 2016 - Taylor & Francis
In this article, we develop a mixed frequency dynamic factor model in which the disturbances
of both the latent common factor and of the idiosyncratic components have time-varying …

Demographics and the natural real interest rate: historical and projected paths for the euro area

A Papetti - Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2021 - Elsevier
This paper employs a large-scale overlapping generation model quantifying that
demographics account for a decrease in the natural real interest rate of about 1.4 …

The global macroeconomics of a trade war: The EAGLE model on the US-China trade conflict

W Bolt, K Mavromatis, S van Wijnbergen - 2019 - papers.ssrn.com
We study the global macroeconomic effects of tariffs using a multiregional, general
equilibrium model, EAGLE, that we extend by introducing US tariffs against Chinese imports …

Economic insecurity and fertility intentions: The case of i taly

F Modena, C Rondinelli… - Review of income and …, 2014 - Wiley Online Library
We aim to provide an explanation for the combination of the relatively low female
participation rates and lowest‐low fertility levels in I taly. Starting from the assumption that …

Toward a green economy: The role of central bank's asset purchases

A Ferrari, V Nispi Landi - 2023 - papers.ssrn.com
We use a DSGE model to study the effectiveness of green-asset purchases by the central
bank (Green QE), along the transition to a carbon-free economy driven by an emission tax …

The scapegoat theory of exchange rates: the first tests

M Fratzscher, D Rime, L Sarno, G Zinna - Journal of Monetary Economics, 2015 - Elsevier
The scapegoat theory of exchange rates (Bacchetta and van Wincoop, 2004, Bacchetta and
van Wincoop, 2013) suggests that market participants may attach excessive weight to …