Is a Global Recession Imminent?
JD Guénette, MA Kose, N Sugawara - Available at SSRN 4223901, 2022 - papers.ssrn.com
Global growth prospects have deteriorated significantly since the beginning of the year,
raising the specter of global recession. This paper relies on insights gleaned from previous …
raising the specter of global recession. This paper relies on insights gleaned from previous …
Multidimensional poverty and inequality
R Aaberge, A Brandolini - Handbook of income distribution, 2015 - Elsevier
This chapter examines different approaches to the measurement of multidimensional
inequality and poverty. It first outlines three aspects preliminary to any multidimensional …
inequality and poverty. It first outlines three aspects preliminary to any multidimensional …
FiMod—A DSGE model for fiscal policy simulations
N Stähler, C Thomas - Economic modelling, 2012 - Elsevier
This paper develops a medium-scale dynamic, stochastic, general equilibrium (DSGE)
model for fiscal policy simulations. Relative to existing models of this type, our model …
model for fiscal policy simulations. Relative to existing models of this type, our model …
The effect of tax enforcement on tax morale
In this paper we argue that tax enforcement is an additional contextual factor affecting tax
morale, one of the most important determinants of tax compliance. By using a unique dataset …
morale, one of the most important determinants of tax compliance. By using a unique dataset …
Short-term GDP forecasting with a mixed-frequency dynamic factor model with stochastic volatility
M Marcellino, M Porqueddu… - Journal of Business & …, 2016 - Taylor & Francis
In this article, we develop a mixed frequency dynamic factor model in which the disturbances
of both the latent common factor and of the idiosyncratic components have time-varying …
of both the latent common factor and of the idiosyncratic components have time-varying …
Demographics and the natural real interest rate: historical and projected paths for the euro area
A Papetti - Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2021 - Elsevier
This paper employs a large-scale overlapping generation model quantifying that
demographics account for a decrease in the natural real interest rate of about 1.4 …
demographics account for a decrease in the natural real interest rate of about 1.4 …
The global macroeconomics of a trade war: The EAGLE model on the US-China trade conflict
W Bolt, K Mavromatis, S van Wijnbergen - 2019 - papers.ssrn.com
We study the global macroeconomic effects of tariffs using a multiregional, general
equilibrium model, EAGLE, that we extend by introducing US tariffs against Chinese imports …
equilibrium model, EAGLE, that we extend by introducing US tariffs against Chinese imports …
Economic insecurity and fertility intentions: The case of i taly
F Modena, C Rondinelli… - Review of income and …, 2014 - Wiley Online Library
We aim to provide an explanation for the combination of the relatively low female
participation rates and lowest‐low fertility levels in I taly. Starting from the assumption that …
participation rates and lowest‐low fertility levels in I taly. Starting from the assumption that …
Toward a green economy: The role of central bank's asset purchases
A Ferrari, V Nispi Landi - 2023 - papers.ssrn.com
We use a DSGE model to study the effectiveness of green-asset purchases by the central
bank (Green QE), along the transition to a carbon-free economy driven by an emission tax …
bank (Green QE), along the transition to a carbon-free economy driven by an emission tax …
The scapegoat theory of exchange rates: the first tests
The scapegoat theory of exchange rates (Bacchetta and van Wincoop, 2004, Bacchetta and
van Wincoop, 2013) suggests that market participants may attach excessive weight to …
van Wincoop, 2013) suggests that market participants may attach excessive weight to …