Marine heatwaves (MHWs)—periods of exceptionally warm ocean temperature lasting
weeks to years—are now widely recognized for their capacity to disrupt marine ecosystems …

Ten years, 16 fully coupled global models, and hundreds of research papers later, the North
American Multimodel Ensemble (NMME) monthly-to-seasonal prediction system is looking …

This study offers an overview of the low-frequency (ie, monthly to seasonal) evolution,
dynamics, predictability, and surface impacts of a rare Southern Hemisphere (SH) …

Abstract The Goddard Earth Observing System composition forecast (GEOS‐CF) system is a
high‐resolution (0.25°) global constituent prediction system from NASA's Global Modeling …

Abstract Subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) prediction, especially the prediction of extreme
hydroclimate events such as droughts and floods, is not only scientifically challenging, but …

The prediction skill for precipitation anomalies in late spring and summer months—a
significant component of extreme climate events—has remained stubbornly low for years …

This review describes advances in understanding and forecasting tropical cyclone (TC)
subseasonal variability during the past four years. A large effort by the scientific community …

We assess the deterministic skill in seasonal climate predictions of Sahel rainfall made with
the North American Multimodel Ensemble (NMME). We find that skill for a regionally …

We compare the performance of several modes of variability across six US climate modeling
groups, with a focus on identifying robust improvements in recent models [including those …

Climate models exhibit known systematic errors in their representation of the El Niño‐
Southern Oscillation (ENSO). In this study, we show that such simulation errors are largely …