A decade of lessons learned from the 2011 Tohoku‐Oki earthquake

N Uchida, R Bürgmann - Reviews of Geophysics, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract The 2011 Mw 9.0 Tohoku‐oki earthquake is one of the world's best‐recorded
ruptures. In the aftermath of this devastating event, it is important to learn from the complete …

Tohoku earthquake: A surprise?

YY Kagan, DD Jackson - Bulletin of the Seismological …, 2013 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
We consider three questions related to the 2011 Tohoku mega‐earthquake:(1) Why was the
event size so grossly underestimated by Japan's national hazard map?(2) How should we …

Next-day earthquake forecasts for the Japan region generated by the ETAS model

J Zhuang - Earth, planets and space, 2011 - Springer
This paper gives the technical solutions of implementing the space-time epidemic-type
aftershock sequence (ETAS) model for short-term (1-day) earthquake forecasts for the all …

Regional earthquake likelihood models I: First‐order results

JD Zechar, D Schorlemmer… - Bulletin of the …, 2013 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
Abstract The Regional Earthquake Likelihood Models (RELM) working group designed a 5‐
year experiment to forecast the number, spatial distribution, and magnitude distribution of …

Bayesian forecast evaluation and ensemble earthquake forecasting

W Marzocchi, JD Zechar… - Bulletin of the …, 2012 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
The assessment of earthquake forecast models for practical purposes requires more than
simply checking model consistency in a statistical framework. One also needs to understand …

CISN ShakeAlert: An earthquake early warning demonstration system for California

M Böse, R Allen, H Brown, G Gua, M Fischer… - Early Warning for …, 2014 - Springer
To demonstrate the feasibility of earthquake early warning (EEW) in California, we have
developed and implemented the CISN ShakeAlert demonstration system. A Decision …

Completeness of the Mainland China earthquake catalog and implications for the setup of the China Earthquake Forecast Testing Center

A Mignan, C Jiang, JD Zechar… - Bulletin of the …, 2013 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
We describe the setup of testing regions for the China Earthquake Forecast Testing Center
and provide preliminary forecast results in the scope of the Collaboratory for the Study of …

Combining earthquake forecasts using differential probability gains

PN Shebalin, C Narteau, JD Zechar… - Earth, Planets and …, 2014 - Springer
We describe an iterative method to combine seismicity forecasts. With this method, we
produce the next generation of a starting forecast by incorporating predictive skill from one …

[图书][B] Earthquakes: models, statistics, testable forecasts

YY Kagan - 2013 - books.google.com
This book is the first comprehensive and methodologically rigorous analysis of earthquake
occurrence. Models based on the theory of the stochastic multidimensional point processes …

Global earthquake forecasting system (GEFS): The challenges ahead

A Mignan, G Ouillon, D Sornette, F Freund - The European Physical …, 2021 - Springer
We conclude this special issue on the Global Earthquake Forecasting System (GEFS) by
briefly reviewing and analyzing the claims of non-seismic precursors made in the present …