Economic uncertainty is a driver of the business cycle. Its leading properties make it a key
advanced indicator to assess the impact of socioeconomic factors on suicide for prevention …

This study aims to refine unemployment forecasts by incorporating the degree of consensus
in consumers' expectations. With this objective, we first model the unemployment rate in …

This paper examines the evolution of labour market uncertainty after the irruption of the
COVID-19 pandemic in European countries. Since uncertainty is not directly observable, we …

In this study we evaluate the dynamic response of different macroeconomic variables to
shocks in agents' perception of three dimensions of uncertainty (economic, inflation and …

This paper examines the relationship between different dimensions of economic uncertainty
and suicide rates in England from 1985 to 2020, both in the short and long term. The study …

In this study we present a geometric approach to proxy economic uncertainty. We design a
positional indicator of disagreement among survey-based agents' expectations about the …

In this study, we present a metric of consensus for Likert-type scales. The statistic provides
the level of agreement for any given number of response options as the percentage of …

The main objective of this study is twofold. First, we propose an empirical modelling
approach based on genetic programming to forecast economic growth by means of survey …

We propose a procedure that jointly estimates expectation, uncertainty, and disagreement
using a flexible hierarchical ordered response model and individual‐level qualitative data …

In this study we present a novel approach to measure the level of consensus among agents'
expectations. The proposed framework allows us to design a positional indicator that gives …