We have been oversold on the base rate fallacy in probabilistic judgment from an empirical,
normative, and methodological standpoint. At the empirical level, a thorough examination of …

Discusses recent developments in risk assessment research regarding violence potential of
the mentally disordered and focuses on the methodological problems that obstruct progress …

Typically, problems in offender management surface when offenders are considered for
release from an institution in which they were initially placed because of some violent …

Multivariate techniques were used to derive and validate an actuarial instrument for the
prediction of violent postrelease offenses by mentally disordered offenders. The 618 …

Psychopaths present serious problems for the criminal justice system because they are
responsible for many serious crimes and appear to be very resistant to treatment. The …

An actuarial approach to predicting sexual recidivism among known sex offenders is
illustrated with a reanalysis of follow-up data of rapists and child molesters. One hundred …

Taxometric analyses were applied to the construct of psychopathy (as measured by the
Psychopathy Checklist) and to several variables reflecting antisocial childhood, adult …

Objective.—To assess the accuracy of clinicians in predicting violence in mental patients.
Specifically, to determine if clinicians can predict violence when variation in rates of violence …

Abstract [This book] provides a concise overview for practitioners of current theory and
intervention. The authors show the multiple factors (individual and social-cultural) that …

Abstract In their book, Violent Offenders, VL Quinsey, GT Harris, ME Rice, and CA Cormier
(1999) proposed the" complete replacement" of clinical assessments of dangerousness with …