Tropical cyclone frequency

AH Sobel, AA Wing, SJ Camargo, CM Patricola… - Earth's …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
The frequency with which tropical cyclones (TCs) occur controls all other aspects of tropical
cyclone risk since a storm that does not occur can do no harm. Yet this frequency is poorly …

[HTML][HTML] Tropical cyclogenesis: Controlling factors and physical mechanisms

VPM Rajasree, X Cao, H Ramsay, KMN Ocasio… - … Cyclone Research and …, 2023 - Elsevier
In this review, advances in the understanding of the controlling factors and physical
mechanisms of tropical cyclogenesis (TCG) are summarized from recent (2018-2022) …

Tropical cyclone seeds, transition probabilities, and genesis

K Emanuel - Journal of Climate, 2022 - journals.ametsoc.org
It has been proposed that tropical cyclogenesis rates can be expressed as the product of the
frequency of “seeds” and a transition probability that depends on the large-scale …

[HTML][HTML] Dynamical aquaplanet experiments with uniform thermal forcing: System dynamics and implications for tropical cyclone genesis and size

DR Chavas, KA Reed - Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 2019 - journals.ametsoc.org
Bacmeister, JT, KA Reed, C. Hannay, P. Lawrence, S. Bates, JE Truesdale, N. Rosenbloom,
and M. Levy, 2018: Projected changes in tropical cyclone activity under future warming …

Tropical cyclone precipitation response to surface warming in aquaplanet simulations with uniform thermal forcing

AM Stansfield, KA Reed - Journal of Geophysical Research …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
While many modeling studies have attempted to estimate how tropical cyclone (TC)
precipitation is impacted by climate change, the multitude of analysis techniques and …

Regimes of convective self-aggregation in convection-permitting beta-plane simulations

JD Carstens, AA Wing - Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 2023 - journals.ametsoc.org
The spontaneous self-aggregation (SA) of convection in idealized model experiments
highlights the importance of interactions between tropical convection and the surrounding …

[HTML][HTML] The transient responses of an axisymmetric tropical cyclone to instantaneous surface roughening and drying

J Chen, DR Chavas - Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 2020 - journals.ametsoc.org
The Transient Responses of an Axisymmetric Tropical Cyclone to Instantaneous Surface
Roughening and Drying in: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences Volume 77 Issue 8 (2020) …

[HTML][HTML] A comparison between moist and dry tropical cyclones: The low effectiveness of surface sensible heat flux in storm intensification

Z Ma, J Fei - Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 2022 - journals.ametsoc.org
Recent numerical modeling studies demonstrate that dry tropical cyclones can be stably
sustained via a supply of surface sensible heat flux. This raises questions of whether surface …

Tropical cyclone potential size

D Wang, Y Lin, DR Chavas - Journal of the Atmospheric …, 2022 - journals.ametsoc.org
A model for tropical cyclone (TC) potential size (PS), which is capable of predicting the
equilibrium outer radius of a TC solely from environmental parameters, is proposed. The …

[HTML][HTML] Large-scale circulations and dry tropical cyclones in direct numerical simulations of rotating Rayleigh–Bénard convection

M Velez-Pardo, TW Cronin - Journal of the Atmospheric …, 2023 - journals.ametsoc.org
The organization of convection into relatively long-lived patterns of large spatial scales, like
tropical cyclones, is a common feature of Earth's atmosphere. However, many key aspects of …