Value of information in the oil and gas industry: past, present, and future

RB Bratvold, JE Bickel, HP Lohne - SPE Reservoir Evaluation & …, 2009 - onepetro.org
An important task that petroleum engineers and geoscientists undertake is to produce
decision-relevant information. Some of the most important decisions we make concern what …

A framework for improving treatment of uncertainty in offshore wind assessments for protected marine birds

KR Searle, SH O'Brien, EL Jones… - ICES Journal of …, 2023 - academic.oup.com
Governments worldwide are setting ambitious targets for offshore renewable energy
development (ORD). However, deployment is constrained by a lack of understanding of the …

[HTML][HTML] Uncertainty quantification in a heterogeneous fluvial sandstone reservoir using GPU-based Monte Carlo simulation

Y Wang, D Voskov, A Daniilidis, M Khait, S Saeid… - Geothermics, 2023 - Elsevier
The efficient operation and management of a geothermal project can be largely affected by
geological, physical, operational and economic uncertainties. Systematic uncertainty …

Uncertainty analysis in group decisions through interval ordinal priority approach

A Mahmoudi, SA Javed - Group Decision and Negotiation, 2023 - Springer
In multiple criteria decision-making (MCDM) problems, ranking alternatives is usually the
end. However, in real life, it is rarely an end in itself and serves as a means to an end …

On uncertainty quantification of lithium-ion batteries: Application to an LiC6/LiCoO2 cell

M Hadigol, K Maute, A Doostan - Journal of Power Sources, 2015 - Elsevier
In this work, a stochastic, physics-based model for Lithium-ion batteries (LIBs) is presented
in order to study the effects of parametric model uncertainties on the cell capacity, voltage …

Two-factor oil-price model and real option valuation: an example of oilfield abandonment

B Jafarizadeh, RBB Bratvold - SPE Economics & Management, 2012 - onepetro.org
We discuss the two-factor oil-price model in valuation and analysis of flexible investment
decisions. In particular, we will discuss the real options formulation of a typical oilfield …

Fuzzy pay-off method for real options: The center of gravity approach with application in oilfield abandonment

REP Borges, MAG Dias, ADD Neto, A Meier - Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 2018 - Elsevier
This paper presents the CoG-FPOM, an adaptation of the Fuzzy Pay-Off Method (FPOM).
The FPOM is a scenario-based real option valuation method that uses fuzzy numbers as …

Discretization, simulation, and Swanson's (inaccurate) mean

JE Bickel, LW Lake, J Lehman - SPE Economics & Management, 2011 - onepetro.org
Swanson's mean (SM) is heavily used within the oil and gas industry to approximate
continuous probability distributions such as the log-normal. In this paper, we document the …

Sequential value of information for subsurface exploration drilling

T Hall, C Scheidt, L Wang, Z Yin, T Mukerji… - Natural Resources …, 2022 - Springer
Quantitative methods are needed for systematic decision-making during exploration for
subsurface resources, but few methods exist that fully incorporate the interaction of …

Probabilistic forecasting of cumulative production of reservoir fluid with uncertain properties

LP Fulchignoni, CG da Silva Santim… - Geoenergy Science and …, 2023 - Elsevier
Offshore development requires large investments, which have to be made in the presence of
multiple sources of uncertainty. Quantification of uncertainty in predictions of a reservoir's …