Red chili is an agricultural commodity with high price volatility. Several previous studies
stated that volatility was caused by weather effect on red chili production and shocks on …

Abstract The Global South, comprising nations in Africa, Asia, and Latin America, has
emerged as a dynamic economic force marked by shared challenges and aspirations for self …

Ongoing climate change is having a profound impact on agriculture, which is attracting
attention from the scientific community. One of its effects is an increase in average …

Most statistical methods in time series analytics assume that the residuals are independently
and identically distributed with zero mean and constant variance. In real cases, this …

The threat of short-term supply disruptions may matter for commodity prices, although their
magnitude is hard to detect, for example due to anticipation, storage and to the relatively …