Standard synthetic control methods: The case of using all preintervention outcomes together with covariates

A Kaul, S Klößner, G Pfeifer… - Journal of Business & …, 2022 - Taylor & Francis
It is becoming increasingly popular in applications of standard synthetic control methods to
include the entire pretreatment path of the outcome variable as economic predictors. We …

Synthetic controls with imperfect pretreatment fit

B Ferman, C Pinto - Quantitative Economics, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
We analyze the properties of the Synthetic Control (SC) and related estimators when the pre‐
treatment fit is imperfect. In this framework, we show that these estimators are generally …

An exact and robust conformal inference method for counterfactual and synthetic controls

V Chernozhukov, K Wüthrich, Y Zhu - Journal of the American …, 2021 - Taylor & Francis
We introduce new inference procedures for counterfactual and synthetic control methods for
policy evaluation. We recast the causal inference problem as a counterfactual prediction and …

Synthetic difference in differences

We present a new perspective on the Synthetic Control (SC) method as a weighted least
squares regression estimator with time fixed effects and unit weights. This perspective …

Synthetic control method: Inference, sensitivity analysis and confidence sets

S Firpo, V Possebom - Journal of Causal Inference, 2018 - degruyter.com
We extend the inference procedure for the synthetic control method in two ways. First, we
propose parametric weights for the p-value that includes the equal weights benchmark of …

Inference in differences-in-differences with few treated groups and heteroskedasticity

B Ferman, C Pinto - Review of Economics and Statistics, 2019 - direct.mit.edu
We derive an inference method that works in differences-in-differences settings with few
treated and many control groups in the presence of heteroskedasticity. As a leading …

X-char: A concept-based explainable complex human activity recognition model

JV Jeyakumar, A Sarker, LA Garcia… - Proceedings of the ACM …, 2023 - dl.acm.org
End-to-end deep learning models are increasingly applied to safety-critical human activity
recognition (HAR) applications, eg, healthcare monitoring and smart home control, to reduce …

The private and external costs of Germany's nuclear phase-out

S Jarvis, O Deschenes, A Jha - Journal of the European …, 2022 - academic.oup.com
Many countries have phased out nuclear power in response to concerns about nuclear
waste and the risk of nuclear accidents. This paper examines the shutdown of more than half …

FX interventions in Brazil: a synthetic control approach

M Chamon, M Garcia, L Souza - Journal of International Economics, 2017 - Elsevier
In the aftermath of the taper tantrum, the Central Bank of Brazil announced a major program
of sterilized foreign exchange intervention. We use a synthetic control approach to estimate …

Large dimensional latent factor modeling with missing observations and applications to causal inference

R Xiong, M Pelger - Journal of Econometrics, 2023 - Elsevier
This paper develops the inferential theory for latent factor models estimated from large
dimensional panel data with missing observations. We propose an easy-to-use all-purpose …